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Pattern Elevation Micro-climatology (SE Mountain Weather)

RBR71

RBR71

Meanager and I don't care
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Just south of Roanoke Rapids, NC
Not only are mountain miles longer but also is different the weather up yonder!

Here at the SoutherWx annual leadership conference (behind closed screen sessions) we have unanimously decided to roll with a all encompassing SE Mountain weather thread. For all those that live up there or for those of us who may travel or just want to be in the know, discuss all your NW flow events, wind storms, brutal cold or lack thereof, any and all micro mountain climates in here.

First up could be a significant NW slope event unfolding next week as depicted by our favorite American model...... let'er rip tater chip!

1574793230157.png
 
This is not "current events" but I've had snow on the AT in Georgia many times in late October and early November, often times deep enough to cover the leaves, when 500 feet lower it was rain or mist; Blood Mountain, Hogpen Gap and Tray Mountain are three prime locations (just south of Rosie); the folks I know up there say that if it is ever going to snow anywhere in Georgia, the 1st place will be Suches (near Woody Gap), which correlates with 20 years plus of fall/early winter AT hiking in N GA ... FWIW

Great idea for a thread, now that the cone of silence has been lifted from the "leadership conference" ... :cool:
 
metwannabe said:
Sure hope it hangs around till next weekend, would love to have some snow on the ground when the wife and I head up to Banner Elk
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Same. Really hoping there’s some snow lying around when we traverse Newfound Gap next Thursday evening
 
Still looking like a decent NW flow event..... anybody with better knowledge than I of Banner Elk, would a good NW event get some accums there too (looks like lesser amounts I guess). Plenty cold most of the week so if can get a couple or 3 inches should still be some around next Friday.

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SoutheastRidge said:
Why just the mountain areas ? I see people in New England on the other forum post elevation even if its 400' lol.
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Lol, I would love to see all posters elevation, but especially the mountains to see where the snow levels are, as well as variables in temperatures.
 
metwannabe said:
Still looking like a decent NW flow event..... anybody with better knowledge than I of Banner Elk, would a good NW event get some accums there too (looks like lesser amounts I guess). Plenty cold most of the week so if can get a couple or 3 inches should still be some around next Friday.

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Absolutely! Banner Elk can crush it with NW flow. Make the short drive over to sugar mountain and it absolutely rips. I was there in 2012 for a nice little 8” event. We stayed at the Best Western at the base of Sugar and got mauled. As we drove down the mountain to eat at the Daniel Boone Inn, the snow got less and less and there were only flurries in Boone. Fun times looking back
 
Bham 99 said:
I wish everybody would put what town they were and also..
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This is a bigger deal imo, of course elevation for the mountain folks would be nice too just as J.C. pointed out to see where snow levels are. Otherwise I don't see a need for it, down here a couple hundred feet elevation doesn't make a difference.
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
Absolutely! Banner Elk can crush it with NW flow. Make the short drive over to sugar mountain and it absolutely rips. I was there in 2012 for a nice little 8” event. We stayed at the Best Western at the base of Sugar and got mauled. As we drove down the mountain to eat at the Daniel Boone Inn, the snow got less and less and there were only flurries in Boone. Fun times looking back
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Thanks! Too bad we want be there for the event just hoping it's still some on the ground when we get there. Doing the Christmas Tree lighting, the 5k, the whole Small Town Christmas thing they got going on and any fluff on the ground will be a nice touch.
 
This event will be a lot bigger than what is being depicted on the models currently. The synoptics are through the roof promising with plenty of moisture and especially LIFT.

My early thinking is 5-10 for Boone/Banner Elk and 10-14 on top of Beech /Sugar/Grandfather. This want disappoint
 
NCSNOW said:
This event will be a lot bigger than what is being depicted on the models currently. Banner elk will go over half a foot easy and on top of Beech, Sugar 10-12. The synoptics are through the roof promising with plenty of moisture and especially LIFT.
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Yeah usually when you have models picking up on NW flow from deep range like this it’s going to be a powder fest
 
my elevation is added to my town. Can you guys see it?


curious abt this upcoming NW event. Gfs and euro both have been pretty aggressive. Will be interesting to see what the high res show over the next few days
 
I expect to see the NAM spit out some 12”+ totals soon for this esp along the TN border. Beech Mountain will be buried too.
 
metwannabe said:
Why don't y'all start your own forum, start whatever threads you want and name it whatever you want.

Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk
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Don't feel the troll.... He is just trying to get a reaction out of you. The thread title is perfectly fine.
 
Man I hope we can pile some snow up on 441 between Cherokee and Gatlinburg. I need ground truth when I drive through next week
 
Sticking g with my first call back on wednesday, few post back. Atleast 5 inches in Boone, 12+ on ridgetops. Itll still be lying around when some of us head up for the SBC Championship game Saturday #20 App v/s Ragin Cajuns.
 
Advisory upgraded to a Warning for counties bordering Wilkes to the west. Roads are being treated. Some snow showers may escape east of the mtns in higher wind gusts.
 
Drifts could exceed 2 feet in areas above 4,500ft that receive the most upslope due to high wind.
 
Wind already gusty here. Going to be a cold windy day tmrw. Looks like I’ll get shafted from most of the snow as the flow is too westerly. Mountain range will block my valley. I need a much larger northerly component.


Still will be a cold wintry day with passing flurries!
 
Definitely one of stronger northwest flow snow events you can get for mountains of western North Carolina. Here's my forecast map for this event. Probably should've been more aggressive with 0-1" bin for valley areas... oh well...
NWFS_December_1_to_3_warning_southernwx.png
 
WxBlue said:
Definitely one of stronger northwest flow snow events you can get for mountains of western North Carolina. Here's my forecast map for this event. Probably should've been more aggressive with 0-1" bin for valley areas... oh well...
View attachment 26756
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Looks good just underdone for Ashe and esp. Alleghany. For Wilkes I think Northern Wilkes near Stone Mountain and southern Wilkes near Brushy MTN will score a dusting to 1”. More 6”+ amounts in Ashe and 1-2” in parts of Alleghany are likely.
 
Interesting AFD...NWS Blacksburg mentions possible Blizzard Warning criteria being met tomorrow. Also mentions areas east and across the blue ridge (I assume Wilkes) could see brief high impact if any snow showers survive off the mountain.
 
WxBlue said:
Definitely one of stronger northwest flow snow events you can get for mountains of western North Carolina. Here's my forecast map for this event. Probably should've been more aggressive with 0-1" bin for valley areas... oh well...
View attachment 26756
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Nice map, I know it took some time to make it. Yup, some places in western NC is going to get hammered with snow.
 
BirdManDoomW said:
Looks good just underdone for Ashe and esp. Alleghany. For Wilkes I think Northern Wilkes near Stone Mountain and southern Wilkes near Brushy MTN will score a dusting to 1”. More 6”+ amounts in Ashe and 1-2” in parts of Alleghany are likely.
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Fair criticism. This map took some time to generate through ArcGIS, but I will admit that Ashe/Alleghany/Wilkes area is my major weakness point with snowfall forecasting in North Carolina. I've forgotten that Ashe County has few high elevation areas that could see good amount of snow.
 
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