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Pattern Elevation Micro-climatology (SE Mountain Weather)

Why don't y'all start your own forum, start whatever threads you want and name it whatever you want.

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Don't feel the troll.... He is just trying to get a reaction out of you. The thread title is perfectly fine.
 
Man I hope we can pile some snow up on 441 between Cherokee and Gatlinburg. I need ground truth when I drive through next week
 
Sticking g with my first call back on wednesday, few post back. Atleast 5 inches in Boone, 12+ on ridgetops. Itll still be lying around when some of us head up for the SBC Championship game Saturday #20 App v/s Ragin Cajuns.
 
Advisory upgraded to a Warning for counties bordering Wilkes to the west. Roads are being treated. Some snow showers may escape east of the mtns in higher wind gusts.
 
Drifts could exceed 2 feet in areas above 4,500ft that receive the most upslope due to high wind.
 
Wind already gusty here. Going to be a cold windy day tmrw. Looks like I’ll get shafted from most of the snow as the flow is too westerly. Mountain range will block my valley. I need a much larger northerly component.


Still will be a cold wintry day with passing flurries!
 
Definitely one of stronger northwest flow snow events you can get for mountains of western North Carolina. Here's my forecast map for this event. Probably should've been more aggressive with 0-1" bin for valley areas... oh well...
NWFS_December_1_to_3_warning_southernwx.png
 
Definitely one of stronger northwest flow snow events you can get for mountains of western North Carolina. Here's my forecast map for this event. Probably should've been more aggressive with 0-1" bin for valley areas... oh well...
View attachment 26756
Looks good just underdone for Ashe and esp. Alleghany. For Wilkes I think Northern Wilkes near Stone Mountain and southern Wilkes near Brushy MTN will score a dusting to 1”. More 6”+ amounts in Ashe and 1-2” in parts of Alleghany are likely.
 
Interesting AFD...NWS Blacksburg mentions possible Blizzard Warning criteria being met tomorrow. Also mentions areas east and across the blue ridge (I assume Wilkes) could see brief high impact if any snow showers survive off the mountain.
 
Definitely one of stronger northwest flow snow events you can get for mountains of western North Carolina. Here's my forecast map for this event. Probably should've been more aggressive with 0-1" bin for valley areas... oh well...
View attachment 26756
Nice map, I know it took some time to make it. Yup, some places in western NC is going to get hammered with snow.
 
Looks good just underdone for Ashe and esp. Alleghany. For Wilkes I think Northern Wilkes near Stone Mountain and southern Wilkes near Brushy MTN will score a dusting to 1”. More 6”+ amounts in Ashe and 1-2” in parts of Alleghany are likely.

Fair criticism. This map took some time to generate through ArcGIS, but I will admit that Ashe/Alleghany/Wilkes area is my major weakness point with snowfall forecasting in North Carolina. I've forgotten that Ashe County has few high elevation areas that could see good amount of snow.
 
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