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Pattern Dry July 2024

I have received about .47 inches of rain and things are about to wrap up here near Lake Wheeler. This is the most rain from one event I've seen in over a month. I have a rain gauge at the vegetable garden I grow near Auburn in southeastern Wake County and I am looking forward to seeing how much badly needed rain fell there tomorrow. Last Sunday it rained around .25 inches which was the first rain that area had seen in three weeks.
 
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2.79 in the last 7 days. This 7 day period beats my monthly total for 5 of the last 9 months
Right at a half inch for the last 7 days. I hate summertime thunderstorms. I have not had the luck getting under a good storm. I thought I would do good with the current storm(s), but no. Everything missed me to the south and east. Grounds not even wet. I guess there's always tomorrow...

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I've been blanked the last week with rain falling very close to me but never over MBY. My speculation is that with the higher temps this year the seabreeze is advancing inland faster and it seems to literally be firing just north of me as it sets up inland and pushes north away from me.
That's exactly what I run into living near Charleston
 
It looks like the Triad and areas west of Durham are the big winners in the rainfall lottery so far today according to radar. Storms are lining up along the front that is draped across the Triad. They will be slow moving today so areas lucky enough to get under a storm will get plenty of rain. Hopefully as the day progresses points east will receive the rain they have been looking for.
 
The storms are supposed to come out over more of NC and into SC, but I am having doubts about that due to the slightly north of east movement. I think they are already about as far south as they are going today. Tomorrow will probably be mostly dry too since GSP looks for cloud cover to last past noon, delaying storms. Most of us south of I-85 will have to wait until Tuesday or Wednesday for another legit chance for rain.
 
Hixson Tn , and my mby in particular have missed out on all the rain in our area. Haven’t needed to mow in 3 weeks. My parents have a place in Englewood Florida. It’s currently 93 degrees there with a heat index of 119. Brutal
 
The storms are supposed to come out over more of NC and into SC, but I am having doubts about that due to the slightly north of east movement. I think they are already about as far south as they are going today. Tomorrow will probably be mostly dry too since GSP looks for cloud cover to last past noon, delaying storms. Most of us south of I-85 will have to wait until Tuesday or Wednesday for another legit chance for rain.
This is aging poorly
 
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This was me yesterday watching everybody east of here celebrating rain while the most I got was distant dark clouds.

Luckily today the bottom has dropped out and this line coming over the mountains is a slow mover.
 
Getting zeroed out here. Outflow heading south has popped storms to the south but nothing of note here. Maybe some outflow boundaries will work some magic. Hearing thunder I'm the distance, but it's still questionable at best.
 
I got a whopping .02 inches of rain at the house to add to .47 inches yesterday and a disappointing .16 inches of rain on my vegetable garden in southeastern Wake County. Hopefully I'll be one of the lucky ones who gets a decent shower or storm this coming week. We have a shot every day for the next seven days at least. The trip to my garden wasn't a total waste, I brought home some cucumbers, jalapeno peppers, zucchini squash, yellow squash and okra. If I can get some rain I am going to have a record cantaloupe and watermelon harvest for me at least. My vines are loaded with flowers and baby melons.
 
18z GFS day 16 QPF totals:

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I'm still in the "I'll believe it when it happens" mode, but I'd rather see this showing than nothing at all. Especially since this would be from multiple events and not just one (tropical) storm.
 
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The storms are supposed to come out over more of NC and into SC, but I am having doubts about that due to the slightly north of east movement. I think they are already about as far south as they are going today. Tomorrow will probably be mostly dry too since GSP looks for cloud cover to last past noon, delaying storms. Most of us south of I-85 will have to wait until Tuesday or Wednesday for another legit chance for rain.
Yeah, I don’t think they are going to make it! Death Valley incoming in 2.1,……..80475273-2C84-451F-A7C7-49B7705B1B5F.png
 
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