tennessee storm
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Starting get concerned bout a decent severe weather threat late next week for parts south
Daily CFS says pattern change early jan View attachment 96954View attachment 96955
This at least appears to be colder (based on these H5 maps) than not only the 6Z and 0Z (neither of which got it that cold down into the SE) but also the impressively cold 18Z CFS that I posted last night. These maps suggest the Midwest and NE US would likely be frigid and the SE would again be at the bottom of the cold where Miller A winter storm(s) could potentially form along the Arctic boundary. The coldest CFS runs have been suggesting like this one that there’d be two separate Arctic plunges.
Do you have 2 meter temps for those two periods?
Looks overdone to me, NAM said today would be more wedged and temps 6-8 degrees cooler then it really isNever underestimate cold rain CAD …View attachment 96967
This time we will have dry air involved and a more CAD process these tend to trend colder but we will see of courseLooks overdone to me, NAM said today would be more wedged and temps 6-8 degrees cooler then it really is
It wouldn’t shock me if some sleet or snow made it to the ground across the Triad taking verbatim.Never underestimate cold rain CAD …View attachment 96967
We said that for much of last winter with CADs and they opposite actually happened, and the NAM was often to aggressive with how cold the CADs were, now them Hanging around is a different storyThis time we will have dry air involved and a more CAD process these tend to trend colder but we will see of course
Sugar mountain here I come ️Well hello there ??View attachment 96970
Yo that dark Grey is directly over my house lolLook at that fro lollipop just for fro and only for fro View attachment 96971