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Pattern December to Remember

Any research out there that shows ice storms and drought having a connection? Would think with all the dry air and dry surface could trigger some wintery mix storms over cold rain esp E of the mtns. @Webberweather53
 
Stormdoc said:
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Well since Jan ‘88 was brought up, just thought I would give a friendly reminder of the 5H pattern as one of those “best case scenarios” for widespread SE storm. Interesting in that the EPO was very negative, although there were low heights along the west coast, and a very positive NAO. Some of our best storms are when we have low heights throughout the continent, allowing high presssure to keep storms suppressed and also allowing energy to easily ride underneath it from west to east.
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Also remember that the AO was positive as well for that storm
 
NCHighCountryWX said:
More excellent work by BAMWX. Their forecast is laid out clear and concise.

Myself, I would not expect much of a chance of snow except in the mountains as the storm track could favor inland paths

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Quick Question. How do you get access to these videos? Are they behind a paywall? I don't see them on the website, twitter, or youtube page.
 
Fog and swizzle in ATL, classic wedge, but only 49-53 degrees...

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Chazwin said:
You are correct… the problem with Miller As for CLT metro is just how sharp that cut off is on the NW edge. You can go from 4-6”+ to nothing in a matter of 10-15 miles, and usually CLT metro is on the wrong side of that. Every now and then a January 2002 will happen, but I would much rather take my chance with a Miller B
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I think the ones that usually do work out for CLT are kind of a hybrid. They're Miller B's maybe technically, but they dig really south and transfer to our south off the coast taking almost a Miller A track. Those do ok sometimes. But true definitive Miller Bs that cut and transfer. Nope, not my cup of tea. Nope nope. ?
 
Rain Cold said:
Meow we're probably not gonna get a big snowstorm underneath a 582 decameter ridge. ☹
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I don't know, the "delta" maybe showing us a trend of rising heights on the west coast and falling heights over the northern plains. A sign of better things to come??
 
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
230 PM EST Fri Dec 10 2021


.SHORT TERM /Tonight through Saturday Night/...

It's a very murky and gray afternoon as a CAD wedge remains
entrenched at the surface across north Georgia. As usual, the wedge
has been slow to erode from southwest to northeast, but the wedge
front will make gradual northward progress from this evening into
tonight. Thus, temperatures will be on a non-diurnal warming trend
overnight, gradually warming across north Georgia as the dammed
surface airmass erodes through Saturday morning. Within this regime,
low clouds and patchy fog can be expected through the overnight
hours with a few overrunning light rain showers as well, mainly
north of the warm front in north Georgia.
 
Dewpoint Dan said:
Your forecast low tonight is 60 which is warmer than your current temp !
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I'm always confused by why the NWS does this. I'm assuming that their "low" will be anticipated at 11:59 am. They should make "night" start at sundown and then give the lowest recorded at that time. CAD is often slower to diminish than forecast around here.
 
weatherfide said:
I'm always confused by why the NWS does this. I'm assuming that their "low" will be anticipated at 11:59 am. They should make "night" start at sundown and then give the lowest recorded at that time. CAD is often slower to diminish than forecast around here.
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Likewise, I hate it when a late night cold front passage means the high occurred at midnight. So misleading when looking back at daily highs and lows.? JMO.
 
NorthDFWwx said:
And if I wanted accumulating snow or below zero temps, I'd live in Minnesota.

Can't have everything we want. :p
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That's alright enjoy it because we all know it won't last

Fort Worth already hinting

Eventually it does look like some colder air
will make a surge southward with some rain chances, it may just be
delayed beyond the current 7 day forecast period.
 
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