Pattern December to Remember

[Metwannabe]

At least it would feel like Christmas

 

[iGRXY]

Look what happens when you have wall to wall blocking over top. Way more west-based -NAO and -EPO. Other than a quick warm up for a day for those west of the apps (CAD is very dominated here and on this run) we are quite cold.

 

[Cary_Snow95]

Cool shot, torch, cool shot, torch on the 12z

 

[iGRXY]

GFS might be about to give us a fantasy ice storm for the CAD areas.

 

[snowvol]

Until euro weeklies. Euro products start picking up on this. Not putting faith into it

But if it was warm you would! Cold is coming in late month- early January!

 

[iGRXY]

Lots of CAD on this GFS run through 300hrs. Artic highs are sliding into the US around this time period now.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Great setup to get a very deep 50/50 low

 

[tennessee storm]

But if it was warm you would! Cold is coming in late month- early January!

Not so fast. Wish I could

 

[tennessee storm]

But if it was warm you would! Cold is coming in late month- early January!

Just telling u we got a lot to fix in the pacific for one . Be lucky if we can ever get pna positive

 

[packfan98]

Seems to be an interesting timeframe on several runs. A piece of energy is able to scoot underneath.

 

[iGRXY]

Quick fantasy winter storm on the GFS>

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Seems to be an interesting timeframe on several runs. A piece of energy is able to scoot underneath.

This is a reason I’m watching Christmas Day-few days after with how chaotic models have been. we could easily trend to sneaking some energy thru, and there’s gonna be a ton of confluence

 

[NorthDFWwx]

@SD definitely pegged the title of this thread right, but for reasons he and I think most on this forum didn't expect.

 

[snowvol]

Just telling u we got a lot to fix in the pacific for one . Be lucky if we can ever get pna positive

Oh but last year didn’t you say a -pna was good for us. You said you would rather have a negative pna than a positive.

 

[packfan98]

I'm not mad at where the gfs ended up. Pacific doesn't look bad to me.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

That’s quite the SE Canada vortex, and the west based -NAO trending better over time

 

[tennessee storm]

Oh but last year didn’t you say a -pna was good for us. You said you would rather have a negative pna

Oh but last year didn’t you say a -pna was good for us. You said you would rather have a negative pna than a positive.

Good memory u have. Yes . Keeps pattern being to far suppressed for one in our area . But your talking about cold Frigid weather correct? Because positive pna with a strong negative nao ao both going give the gulf coast your winter storms promise .

 

[Tarheel1]

Winner

 

[Chazwin]

This is a reason I’m watching Christmas Day-few days after with how chaotic models have been. we could easily trend to sneaking some energy thru, and there’s gonna be a ton of confluence

Agreed. That’s the type of set up where you could see something kinda pop up only 2-3 days out.

 

[snowvol]

Good memory u have. Yes . Keeps pattern being to far suppressed for one in our area . But your talking about cold Frigid weather correct? Because positive pna with a strong negative nao ao both going give the gulf coast your winter storms promise .

No not too cold don’t want dry suppressed, I want winter weather with enough sustained cold to keep it around for a 2-3 days at least. Any I think we may pop a positive pna at some point. I live in north middle tn. I don’t have to have pipe bust cold.