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Pattern December to Remember

Something may sneak out of that maybe...
Still too far out though, if anything it would likely be in the form of freezing rain/sleet because of mid level ridging. Temps. at 850mb probably wouldn't be cold enough for snowfall - but hey there's enough time for trends for this feature if it ends up consistently showing on future runs.
 
I don't see much to be enthused about the rest of December. Whatever blocking we get in the Atlantic will be offset by the Pacific. The MJO is in no hurry and may go in the wrong direction for the time being. The best news I can find right now is it *might* be seasonably cool on Christmas for my backyard.
 
Getting a feeling finding the Cold may not be our Main Problem this year. It's the other ingredient. 6z GFS says Ill see .25 qpf over the next 15 days. Thankfully its the GFS and wrong as many times as is correct. Espeacilly LR.
I agree we'll get the cold eventually the question is the precipitation going to be there.
 
Getting a feeling finding the Cold may not be our Main Problem this year. It's the other ingredient. 6z GFS says Ill see .25 qpf over the next 15 days. Thankfully its the GFS and wrong as many times as is correct. Espeacilly LR.
Yep and long term implication could be problematic, already is to some degree

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