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Pattern December to Remember

Jimmy Hypocracy said:
That was a good one. I remember local Mets tracked that one confiedently from 6-7 days out. Like it couldn’t miss.
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That’s wild. Our guys around here blew it off big time. Saying just a few snow flurries. Ended up getting like 4-6 out of it. Hrrr nailed the event.
 
DarkKnight said:
That’s wild. Our guys around here blew it off big time. Saying just a few snow flurries. Ended up getting like 4-6 out of it. Hrrr nailed the event.
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Yeah, I was in La Fayette, GA visiting family and it was thought that we could see an inch of snow...well that inch ended up being more like 4 inches of snow and we got upgraded to a Winter Storm Warning about halfway through when the cat was out of the bag (although I'm sure most didn't mind).

Fun event.

I certainly don't think this was tracked from 15-16 days out though, which is when we saw that winter storm that was depicted on the 18z GFS today.
 
ATLwxfan said:
Last December, the city of Atlanta had temps of 32°or below 11 days out of the month. If this pattern holds…it could be 0.


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What's really wild is Baton Rouge has yet to reach 32 this season! Normally we'll hit that by late November. We got close a couple times, getting down to 34 one morning in mid November, but we have yet to hit the magic number. Maybe by year's end. :(
 
Will Rossman said:
What's really wild is Baton Rouge has yet to reach 32 this season! Normally we'll hit that by late November. We got close a couple times, getting down to 34 one morning in mid November, but we have yet to hit the magic number. Maybe by year's end. :(
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Wow…that’s amazing!


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ATLwxfan said:
Interesting thread. If you believe Huffman, don’t get too excited about the MJO…




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I don't think the MJO is supposed to go into a favorable cold phase for SE US weather until we get to Phase 7 or 8 anyway. The earliest that's supposed to occur is end of December, which means we shouldn't be surprised if this region isn't that cold for Christmas week.
 
Will Rossman said:
What's really wild is Baton Rouge has yet to reach 32 this season! Normally we'll hit that by late November. We got close a couple times, getting down to 34 one morning in mid November, but we have yet to hit the magic number. Maybe by year's end. :(
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I don't think DFW has officially yet either which is pretty crazy for them(some of the suburbs have but yeah not the airport or probably the immediate metro)

Meanwhile up here 4 hours north we've been well down into the 20s a few times already
 
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Will Rossman said:
I don't think the MJO is supposed to go into a favorable cold phase for SE US weather until we get to Phase 7 or 8 anyway. The earliest that's supposed to occur is end of December, which means we shouldn't be surprised if this region isn't that cold for Christmas week.
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I don’t think you read his entire thread. Not saying I agree with him but he’s saying a pass through phases 7 8 1 hardly guarantees a cold pattern and even showed previous years where this mjo pass thru resulted in a mild se with all the cold focused west. Amplitude matters and some models are showing a weak wave entering 7-8
 
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