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Pattern December, Make analogs relevant again

I don’t believe this solution anymore than the previous ones. This is what happens when you a volatile pattern with a fast pacific . We had new energy introduced out west this run as well. Another run , another solution . Mark it down this will not be the final outcome


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Man with two 1040ish highs like that, get ready to walk like a penguin. Absolute Classic CAD structure and signature. Forget thermal schemes as depicted verbatim...this looks like an absolute crush job inbound.
 
Them break off a piece of the vortex and put central and east conus in the deep freezer

Release the hounds lol

NC folks may need generator and some fuel...geez... Like I mentioned earlier I think N GA and maybe E AL get some ZR as well looking at HP setup
 
dusting for everyone lol
For craps and giggles, hasn't the GFS been shifting south with the winter weather?
Yes but this is a completely different solution with the same result for some . If I were in NC I’d be pumped . We get different solutions but that area still gets something
 
Zero chance this verifies
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Yes but this is a completely different solution with the same result for some . If I were in NC I’d be pumped . We get different solutions but that area still gets something
Yeah the cad signal is honking away. I'll tell you what though, the DC folks despite multiple different runs are in the sweet spot. They get days and days of snow on this run
 
Goofy has pretty much all of the region staying below freezing on New Year's Eve.

Yeah no. Not happening. It's going to be cold but not that ridiculous.
 
Precip starts early Thursday morning in the Carolinas. Could be a long duration event .


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I don’t believe this solution anymore than the previous ones. This is what happens when you a volatile pattern with a fast pacific . We had new energy introduced out west this run as well. Another run , another solution . Mark it down this will not be the final outcome


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Yeah there's actually some merit to the pattern volatility that's observed in La Ninas, which is often more appreciable than is observed in El Ninos. I think a significant piece of the puzzle lies in the character of the tropical forcing in La Ninas which I discussed earlier today. I'll also add that when you're in a NINA, split flow is common particularly over western North America, and thus you often get confluent streams and phasing further east in our area of the world. These interactions between the northern and southern branches of the jet that are more common (generally speaking) are simply harder for the models to capture because you have to get multiple pieces correct to get the right solution w/ specific, individual storms, unlike in NINOs when the jet more often features a singular, predominant subtropical branch (although this isn't always true particularly the later in winter we get)...
http://southernwx.com/community/threads/december-make-analogs-relevant-again.289/live?page=201#post-68053
 
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