Pattern December, Make analogs relevant again

[Clem282340]

Precip starts early Thursday morning in the Carolinas. Could be a long duration event .


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When you say Carolinas do you mean South Carolina and North Carolina

 

[Storm5]

Time to fire up the thread. Lol

Too early . Sunday is better we are still getting wild solutions from late bloomers to a board wide impact

 

[Xtreme Weather]

Zero chance this verifies


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I think there is a chance to get to single digits here anyway with fresh snow and ice pack

Ya if I was in NC, I would be very excited. Big time storm

No I would be worried not excited... Just saying

 

[Wxfan]

How do the areas like Gatlinburg fair during a CAD event? Just curious if the western side of apps are blocked off??

 

[Storm5]

I think there is a chance to get to single digits here anyway with fresh snow and ice pack

No I would be worried not excited... Just saying

That’s assuming there is snow cover and ice close to our area. But yeah I agree

 

[Webberweather53]

 

[Storm5]

Steady gulf flow with a visiting PV is pretty exciting 6-7 days out. Who knows if it’s correct though

 

[drfranklin]

How do the areas like Gatlinburg fair during a CAD event? Just curious if the western side of apps are blocked off??

Gatlinburg, TN and surrounding areas are never affected by CAD

 

[Storm5]

The 1300m storm is heating up

 

[RollTide18]

It's hard to get excited because it's the GFS

 

[Storm5]

That run was the most ridiculous run I’ve seen in the last 24 hours. I’m not saying that just because it doesn’t slam my area either. Shows a storm system stretching from TX to the Carolinas? Doesn’t make sense. Also, I’m all ears on why we would even somewhat get excited for a rain changing to snow event here in the Carolinas. We all know it never pans out. I’m also curious, feel free for anyone to answer this also, why does the GFS show the same thing for SC during every single bogus rain to snow event usually 120+ hrs out? Look at HR 186.. what crock of crap is that? The easy answer is the warm nose.. I understand that. But there has to be some other factor. The mountains hurting the cold air flow to the state? I mean I sick of seeing that look..

How does an Arctic front draped over the southeast with a SW flow and a pressing PV not make sense???? Classic setup especially for CAD regions

 

[Storm5]

IF you were to believe the GFS this system gets going early early Wednesday morning

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[malak05]

Let's just get all the global models singing similar tunes and then I'll count on the NAM, RAP, HRRR closer to event for moisture and amounts

 

[$alt]

Man with two 1040ish highs like that, get ready to walk like a penguin. Absolute Classic CAD structure and signature. Forget thermal schemes as depicted verbatim...this looks like an absolute crush job inbound.

Now we are dealing with two situations, within a day or two of each other, possibly here in SC.

 

[malak05]

CMC has similar look Wednesday and Thursday not as cold in other parts of SE

 

[Stormlover]

That’s assuming there is snow cover and ice close to our area. But yeah I agree

than you take back that there is zero chance?

 

[Storm5]

Timing is almost the exact same on the CMc

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[Storm5]

than you take back that there is zero chance?

Sure 4 percent

 

[Xtreme Weather]

Flizzard Watch....may be needed Sunday night at the limits on the RGEM range but showing some moisture as CAA works in

 

[cg2916]

Yikes