I just deleted a bunch of post, some of you got caught up in the deletion because you replied to the original problem comment. Please try to keep banter in banter and keep responses respectful/civil. Thanks
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Pattern December Dud đź‘€
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
How many times have we seen this whiff setup over the last 2-3 years? It’s crazy to me that we see these a few times a year now. What’s the reason we can’t get a wave to do this exact same thing except a couple hundred miles back to the west? Nothing ever digs across the middle of the country anymore. It’s always this late bloomer coastal bullsh** year after year after year. What’s the tipping point? Honestly
First vort looked better, but the second vort of interest isn’t looking so great this GFS run
It seems like every time we get these WC ridge pumps recently they are too flat or too far E likely owing to the overall stronger pac jet the last few years. Combine that with a real lack of a legitimate long lasting well established true -nao and magically everything is either biased north or east
I'll take another shift west or 2 like this please 
#grasping
#grasping 
NCSNOW
Member
Passing Along: Scanned the Euro and Canadian to get a consensus on temps through Holliday week coming up. Seeing about tee times. No Bueno this weekend through Christmas Day, unless you like playing with temps in the 30's/near 40 for highs.
26th-NYD temps here we get low 50's ( saw a 54 New Years Eve on Euro). Problem is it looks like moisture is gonna be a threat Those days ( New years Eve and Day) for right now. Weekend of 28-29th are your best bet. Perfect if you ask me. My fav golf wx is temps in the 50's with sun and no breeze. As there is no bugs, Humidity, sweating involved.
26th-NYD temps here we get low 50's ( saw a 54 New Years Eve on Euro). Problem is it looks like moisture is gonna be a threat Those days ( New years Eve and Day) for right now. Weekend of 28-29th are your best bet. Perfect if you ask me. My fav golf wx is temps in the 50's with sun and no breeze. As there is no bugs, Humidity, sweating involved.
For Christmas my number one weather wish is always for snow. But my second is for no torch. The 6z GFS, at least, would give me that.
2m temps for late afternoon Christmas day:
Playing today before I go back to the back surgeon for consultation Friday! They saying low 60s today I say it happens right when we are about through, like 18th hole. lol. Currently foggy and 48 damp degrees...
NCSNOW
Member
GFS is a lot warmer than Canadian/Euro post Christmas temps. GFS , just like summer always over exaggerates its temps in the long range. Been my experience/ no actual science to back that statement up.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
The GEFS trying to suck weenies back in
this is relevant to my interests.
Is this the clipper or the coastal?
It's one member skewing the mean.
CNCsnwfan1210
Member
The UKMET has more detailed data now available on Pivotal like precip type etc.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
NCSNOW
Member
NCSNOW
Member
Got about a 90 hour window from late Fri-Tuesday , that if anything falls it would be frozen. Trick is getting anything to fall, 12z gfs and short RGEM show a sprit or two. So not impossible 5 days out for someone to get a novelty pellet/flake.
Anyway, check this out Monday a.m. Coldest Ive seen.
Anyway, check this out Monday a.m. Coldest Ive seen.
Models have teased at this a few times over the last several days but I do wonder if we need to watch Christmas Eve morning for areas in the Southeast. I wonder if that moisture will arrive before the cold air completely pulls out.
This is one of the warmest patterns for the conus that I can remember....trop pv consolidated and just off the pole in the worst spot. Good news is the pattern literally can't get worse..so maybe things turn up from here.
