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Pattern December Dud 👀

Couple GEFS members got excited. Couldn't possibly mean any less to me but, there's nothing else to look at.
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i think i'm going to be a little more perked up than the rest of the board being in richmond. honestly though, a few more solid hits than i thought there would be and it makes me curious on what the eps has in store

member 20 is a monster
 
I do wonder if we will be able to build some type of pseudo or true temporary -nao. Lots of bn heights across the Atlantic under the big + height anom over E Canada and S Greenland. Pretty active wave train/cutter parade the week after Christmas to start to run into that construct and being to develop a vortex over the lakes and northeast which would begin shifting the storm track south. That said models have intermittently tried to do this over the last few weeks with limited success but if you want to find a way to cut off what would be an otherwise warm look there you go.
 
I do wonder if we will be able to build some type of pseudo or true temporary -nao. Lots of bn heights across the Atlantic under the big + height anom over E Canada and S Greenland. Pretty active wave train/cutter parade the week after Christmas to start to run into that construct and being to develop a vortex over the lakes and northeast which would begin shifting the storm track south. That said models have intermittently tried to do this over the last few weeks with limited success but if you want to find a way to cut off what would be an otherwise warm look there you go.
Yeah I think Webb mentioned this earlier. If it ends that's how it will happen in Jan
 
Haven’t the long range models trended colder? Not saying that’s the staple for all of winter but everyone is staying in the fence of disregarding the long range! I have just succumbed to the fact that it will be year 3 with no snow in my zip code! Hard to be disappointed with no expectations!
 
Haven’t the long range models trended colder? Not saying that’s the staple for all of winter but everyone is staying in the fence of disregarding the long range! I have just succumbed to the fact that it will be year 3 with no snow in my zip code! Hard to be disappointed with no expectations!
My goodness. Folks tossing in the towel on December 16th. What you say could be true but its a long way from being over.
 
It's not just us. Who has had a borderline significant winter storm in the eastern 2/3rds of the country this winter? We're more than 1/6th through meteorological winter. Long range doesn't have anything in the queue, anywhere really.

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look at the hazards map. this feels like a map you'd see around halloween.
 
Some pretty insane anoms in Canada View attachment 156071
Just my two cents, but a blazing Canada can be good for us. Especially in prime climo time. I think as we get closer in time you’d see at least some moderately cold air underneath that. I’ll gladly take Chicago 850mb temps of +2C as long as we’re -2C and ripping snow.
 
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