Couple GEFS members got excited. Couldn't possibly mean any less to me but, there's nothing else to look at.View attachment 156062
nice macro trends under the hood if you want a miracle, although the jump to a more positive tilt doesn't help
i think i'm going to be a little more perked up than the rest of the board being in richmond. honestly though, a few more solid hits than i thought there would be and it makes me curious on what the eps has in storeCouple GEFS members got excited. Couldn't possibly mean any less to me but, there's nothing else to look at.
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Yeah I think Webb mentioned this earlier. If it ends that's how it will happen in JanI do wonder if we will be able to build some type of pseudo or true temporary -nao. Lots of bn heights across the Atlantic under the big + height anom over E Canada and S Greenland. Pretty active wave train/cutter parade the week after Christmas to start to run into that construct and being to develop a vortex over the lakes and northeast which would begin shifting the storm track south. That said models have intermittently tried to do this over the last few weeks with limited success but if you want to find a way to cut off what would be an otherwise warm look there you go.
Yeah as much as we don't like cutters a repetitive wave train of cutters does have a tendency to feed off of itself and become self limitingYeah I think Webb mentioned this earlier. If it ends that's how it will happen in Jan
My goodness. Folks tossing in the towel on December 16th. What you say could be true but its a long way from being over.Haven’t the long range models trended colder? Not saying that’s the staple for all of winter but everyone is staying in the fence of disregarding the long range! I have just succumbed to the fact that it will be year 3 with no snow in my zip code! Hard to be disappointed with no expectations!
It doesn't help that Hudson Bay is STILL mostly open in the middle of December for building home-grown Canadian cold.Some pretty insane anoms in Canada View attachment 156071
Retract the jet some, we be good I thinkMost ens retract the NP trough pretty quick now. A step to greatness
But it may snow in Columbus on Friday. Are you going to the Vols/Buckeyes game ?Our snow hope for the kids in Columbus, OH fell apart for the next week.....bummed!
Technically near my avg dec snow for the month of dec (0.7) so I truly don’t have complaining rights. Considering it turned everything into a winter wonderland to1st half of December Pattern / Temperatures / Snowfall
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Just my two cents, but a blazing Canada can be good for us. Especially in prime climo time. I think as we get closer in time you’d see at least some moderately cold air underneath that. I’ll gladly take Chicago 850mb temps of +2C as long as we’re -2C and ripping snow.Some pretty insane anoms in Canada View attachment 156071
Serious question, how? If the source regions are starting out 20 degrees above average I can't see how that's good. We always have temp issues anyway.Just my two cents, but a blazing Canada can be good for us. Especially in prime climo time.