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Pattern December Dud 👀

KyloG said:
This is one of the warmest patterns for the conus that I can remember....trop pv consolidated and just off the pole in the worst spot. Good news is the pattern literally can't get worse..so maybe things turn up from here.

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Beautiful -NAO. 🙄
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
The only thing getting trapped under that -NAO are the suckers that think it’s going to snow at their house
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Pretty much, we likely don't snow if we trap something under that but all of this winter is over lawn mower go vroom golf shots go splash talk turns into low to mid 50s and lol
 
75F under Sunny Skies & very light winds.. (We had Heavy Fog this Morning)..
Perfect Golf Weather here on the Coast

I wouldn't be Surprised if @Shaggy , (wasn't playing Hooky & is out on the Greens today)

Or Fishing..
I Went down to the Surf & Sand Early this Morning..

Once the Fog started clearing,,, the bite stopped..
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SD said:
Pretty much, we likely don't snow if we trap something under that but all of this winter is over lawn mower go vroom golf shots go splash talk turns into low to mid 50s and lol
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There’s always a risk of undercutting like that happening and keeping temps moderated in the southeastern us when your block is centered that far north into Canada. We really need a cut off upper low to dig and meander around the SW US or south-central plains to get this blocking ridge rooted into the subtropics.
 
Don’t get the moaning and groaning, most ens (the GEFS is rather unimpressive given it looks like it drops something in the SW which makes the STR stronger in the east) already show the western ridge returning by new years already. The warm up was kinda seen a while back pretty easily, we actually kinda delayed it a bit with this the pre Christmas cold 🤷🏽‍♂️ womp oof pattern is suppose to stay cold entirety of winter womp oof unrealistic expectations 86D1A83E-AB44-4324-B1A4-C0422AED8F88.gif60E1D996-793D-4327-9737-0119F33F2192.gif
 
The way the GFS OP dislodges all of that bottled up cold at the pole to the opposite side of the northern hemisphere to start January is incredible. The anti Christmas miracle. Best of luck undoing that if it happens. Which it won’t. But it might.IMG_0656.gif
 
06z EURO AI says we are cooked

Barrow Alaska making a modest run at its record low of -56F (set back in February of 1924) towards the end of the run
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Jimmy Hypocracy said:
The way the GFS OP dislodges all of that bottled up cold at the pole to the opposite side of the northern hemisphere to start January is incredible. The anti Christmas miracle. Best of luck undoing that if it happens. Which it won’t. But it might.View attachment 156144
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lts on an island by itself. Save maybe the CFS. Everything looks improved to me today LR, except GFS.
We are getting ready to spend Fri-Wed at or below normal. We caught an above normal day today finally here ( with a shower mixed in) and should have one tomorrow.
Greensboro sitting at -4.4 BN, Fayeteville, RockyMount -2.4 BN. Then there's RDU only like -1.4 LOL with its inferno located sensors.
 
So for you guys who are way more skilled than I, what's NYC looking like for 12/28-1/3? Kid and I will be up there for concerts and maybe a knicks game and sightseeing...
 
Don’t be surprised even as the pattern changes favorably to an eastern trough with perhaps a in-situ -NAO & possibly -EPO, that the first few systems are cutters with rain and severe weather over the southern us.

Just trying to keep expectations in check. We usually need to let patterns like this cook for a bit before we get hit
 
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