Pattern December Dud 👀

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

22 this morning. She cold

 

[EmersonGA]

18.7 this morning.

 

[ForsythSnow]

20.1, so close to teens

 

[weather bubba]

At the Lake Wheeler NCSU cooperative weather station which is about a mile from my house as the crow flies it is 20.8 degrees. At my house it is 22 degrees. Maybe I'm too close to some of that obnoxious development that is going around my neighborhood.

 

[NEGaweather]

22 this morning


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[ITUSETOSNOW]

19.2

 

[BullCityWx]

Yesterday was the 11th coldest mean temperature day on December 3rd in the last eighty years at RDU. It was the 6th coldest at GSO and 7th at CLT.

 

[Downeastnc]

Hit 20 here, we have not had a temp below 20 since Jan 30 2022....

 

[WXinCanton]

20 here

 

[BIG FROSTY]

17.6 this morning.

 

[DixieBlizzard]

19F this morning in LIJ.

 

[SD]

Lol it's so bad

 

[Rain Cold]

17.2 last night. Excellent

 

[cyclogent]

23 at CHA, 21 at the house.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Megafrost out here this morning

 

[Rain Cold]

Need blocking to come back or Zzzzzzz

 

[SD]

Soon

 

[GoDuke]

17.2 degrees this morning. Coldest of the season by far.

 

[IWC]

Was 20 Degrees in MBY at 7:00 this morning Garner, NC

 

[KyloG]

One positive is GEFS isn't modeling a stout GOA ridge...and holds a -AO.

 

[jackendrickwx]

Stout inversion out west today. Fryingpan Mtn at 5300 was 17.6F warmer than Waynesville down in the valley at 6:50am. At that time FRYI 31.1, WAYN 13.5. Fryingpan has already broken 40 while WAYN isn’t quite to 25. You can see FRYI to rising the second the sun goes down.

 

[BullCityWx]

Hey, we live in the SE. It's going to warm here and there in the winter no matter what. It is also going to be cold in stretches here and there too. It's just a timing issue with cold and moisture. Obviously, with more cold, you have more chances. So far, this is a good start but who knows where we go from here. My advice is to always take the long range GFS with a grain of salt. Yes, fantasy storms are fun to see, but just like those, fantasy torches probably won't materialize as advertised.

Wanted to boost this post with the upcoming pattern.

 

[Webberweather53]

I think we’re gonna be hosed the rest of December thanks to this poleward shift in the Pacific Jet, brought about in large part by -EAMT event which is fluxing a lot of westerly momentum poleward over the pacific. Holidays don’t look as warm as say 2015 etc but it doesn’t exactly look cold either.

Not sure if we get a big +EPO, but -EPO will be suppressed probably til at least early January.


Poleward pacific jet shift composite




ECMWF Ensemble forecast

 

[NE Ga Wx]

19 here this morning. First low in the teens of the season

 

[LukeBarrette]

A follow-up wave would be nice after a first wave brings the cold down.

 

[BullCityWx]

Yesterday was the 11th coldest mean temperature day on December 3rd in the last eighty years at RDU. It was the 6th coldest at GSO and 7th at CLT.

Euro still says RDU ties the record low max on Friday at 38.

 

[jackendrickwx]

Euro still says RDU ties the record low max on Friday at 38.

NBM (and RAH grids) says 42, it'll be interesting. I am more fired up about this fropa thursday, the nam3 takes RDU from 46 at 11am to 40 at 2pm to 37 at 4pm. that's prolly a bit too cold but its quicker with the front, it'll depend on that timing for if we can break 50 before it gets here

 

[jackendrickwx]

i can say with confidence that there will be a temperature between 25 and 70 on december 12 at 6z

 

[accu35]

Man that system on the 12th needs to be watched closely. Couple more temps down and it could be someone snowstorm

 

[SASQUATCH]

i can say with confidence that there will be a temperature between 25 and 70 on december 12 at 6z
View attachment 155509

They don't call her Goofus for nothing!

 

[SASQUATCH]

Man that system on the 12th needs to be watched closely. Couple more temps down and it could be someone snowstorm

We will eventually reel one in, Accu.

 

[KyloG]

This would be fun...2-4" of driving rain in mid-December.

 

[weather bubba]

Euro still says RDU ties the record low max on Friday at 38.

The Euro may be on to something concerning that record low max for KRDU on Friday. The KRDU discussion said that high temperatures would struggle to reach 40 degrees on Friday.

 

[NCSNOW]

A follow-up wave would be nice after a first wave brings the cold down.

See the 0Z CANADIAN

 

[Webberweather53]

If it’s not going to be cold enough to truly snow, might as well be warm enough to go outside and play golf + have chances for thunderstorms. I wouldn’t mind seeing some good storms in NC over Christmas considering how deprived I am of them in NM

 

[hky1894]

Not likely but the system later next week looks interesting. Looks to warm but possibility of big phased storm could give mountains a chance at least


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[SD]

This would be fun...2-4" of driving rain in mid-December.

View attachment 155510

We probably are getting back to needing rain

 

[lexxnchloe]

@lexxnchloe you are falling down on the job christmas cane hybrid howler View attachment 155489

This is more like a hybrid howler as the east coast summer ridge returns for winter.

 

[NCSNOW]

Theres your second wave LukeB.

Edit. Actually its the same wave that lolligags up out of western GOM and up the seaboard. need one more nudge / cold air and you and few others will be in business for frozen








wide right this run

 

[CNCsnwfan1210]

EC hires with a -EPO mid month, that would be nice if true


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