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Pattern December Dud 👀

Hey, we live in the SE. It's going to warm here and there in the winter no matter what. It is also going to be cold in stretches here and there too. It's just a timing issue with cold and moisture. Obviously, with more cold, you have more chances. So far, this is a good start but who knows where we go from here. My advice is to always take the long range GFS with a grain of salt. Yes, fantasy storms are fun to see, but just like those, fantasy torches probably won't materialize as advertised.
 
Webberweather53 said:
Pacific Jet is extending although EAMT remains negative in week 2. That usually means the jet is shifting poleward (gaining some angular momentum in the process), in order to compensate for angular momentum losses upstream over Asia. Poleward shifted pac jet is also less favorable for -EPO.

Blehhh 🤢
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So the background +AAM might be hurting here ?
 
Rain Cold said:
It does every year. The other day when someone posted it heading into 7+, I was like I can't wait to see that graph in a week. It just can't spend any time on the left in winter.ue wi
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I know this is not how "weather works" but I'm fine for it to camp where it is in mid/late Dec if rolls into 7/8 for Jan. :)
 
Interestingly tonight at 900 PM, RDU was 34 degrees. No other
stations (ASOS) were warmer in the state of North Carolina except
for the Outer Banks stations surrounded by water and Beaufort on the
coast. Even Wilmington was 32. Also of local interest, all the Wake
County and Raleigh sites (AWOS and LDAD) were running colder than
the RDU ASOS except one. I counted on the order of 25 sites in Wake
that reported at 900 PM. Only one site that is urbanized (near
downtown) reported 35. Even the hot spot in our CWA, Fayetteville
reported 26.

Expect clear skies and very cold temperatures with exceptional
radiational cooling in the arctic air mass (frost points in the
teens). Most lows in the 15-20 range, except for RDU


Mmmm hmmmm
 
SD said:
Interestingly tonight at 900 PM, RDU was 34 degrees. No other
stations (ASOS) were warmer in the state of North Carolina except
for the Outer Banks stations surrounded by water and Beaufort on the
coast. Even Wilmington was 32. Also of local interest, all the Wake
County and Raleigh sites (AWOS and LDAD) were running colder than
the RDU ASOS except one. I counted on the order of 25 sites in Wake
that reported at 900 PM. Only one site that is urbanized (near
downtown) reported 35. Even the hot spot in our CWA, Fayetteville
reported 26.

Expect clear skies and very cold temperatures with exceptional
radiational cooling in the arctic air mass (frost points in the
teens). Most lows in the 15-20 range, except for RDU


Mmmm hmmmm
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This sounds like a cry for help from the author lmao
 
It is cold. It is 29 in Wilmington at 11pm! The inversion has already begun in WNC, with Waynesville at 16(!) and Fryingpan Mtn at 23. Siler City sits at 21!
 
Yall think first week of December has been Great. The 0z CFS first week of January is drool worthy.

Also the chase for upper 60s/70 next wed/thurs has disappeared on the globals. They all have a pretty strong front/ storm next wed into Thurs. Id take the what the Canadian is sniffing after it swings by, going into day 10. 6z GFS has joined in with the euro and Icon.

Popped off a 16 this morning
 
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