I got down to 30 but have jumped rapidly up to 36 with the clouds.
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Pattern December Dud đź‘€
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LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
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22 here!!!
how bout 34.9/20.1 with a wind chill of 30 out at jockey's ridge?
Record highs next week
LickWx
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80
LickWx
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80
20.5 this morning
It's beginning to look a lot like Torchmas 
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
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NCSNOW
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Not sold which way Pac Ridging shakes out second half Dec. Best guess is its soft or yields to troughiness and re-establishes between Christmas Day-New Years Day. I just watch ensembles LR. probably gonna be a good 10 days before we can see which way we are headed 12/15-12/30. This first week of December has been stellar and week 2 looks seasonal. I believe it was post 11/23 ish before ens started sniffing out this current pattern.
LickWx
Member
It’s a shame most of us missed out on this dual jet buckle.
I’m keeping a tally this year: 0/1
I’m keeping a tally this year: 0/1
After a slow start, made it down to 25 last night and racked up -1" of snow.
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
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My quick analysis is that it will be awhile before another snow chance. Can’t say I can complain as my last exam is on the 18th. No distractions please…
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RDU has a chance at matching or perhaps even setting a record low max on Friday. The current record is 38.
Avalanche
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Snowpack there?
NCSNOW
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Avalanche
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We need a warmup and a reload. Let’s thaw out for a bit then see what a trough can do in a few weeks.
ITUSETOSNOW
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No, we don't, because once we get that pattern, it seems very hard to break again.
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Almost noon and it's only 38.3 degrees outside under full sun. It's a cold one, today.
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Wow.
Thoughts?
Avalanche
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That is exactly why I said see what the trough can do. Don’t think anyone on here would advocate for a winter long ridge
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He's saying warm to seasonable until around Christmas based on the Euro weeklies. He's discounting the warmth shown on the GFS, as he says it tends to over-do things. He also says, who really knows?
how bout these dews crashing in on the 12z gfs? all the floodlight prognosticating has distracted from the strength of the (brief) cold push Thursday evening. if it hustles we could get a daytime drop-off in temps as well
NCSNOW
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latest Icon and Canadian are quicker to scoot the AN air out as we approach mid month. Noticed the latest GFS OP is slower, however it has rainy days next week on 2 separate occasions that will prevent mid 60's temps from occurring, like it was advertising. Still AN though. Not good when your chasing seasonal wx patterns.
12z GEFS
12z GEFS
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nope. That wasn't as low as forecast. 19 for tonight. 35 currently
Thermal belt we live at a higher elevation than Rutherford county and Cleveland county to our south but lower than the escarpment. We can be sitting in the mid 30s while everyone south and north are colder. Burke County has a lot of little microclimates I live near the Catawba River and we're always colder than lake James or out your way in Glen Alpine.
The GFS shows a wash, rinse, repeat pattern. I'm just happy there there's no permanent warm SE ridge -PNA pattern showing up. Variable patterns can still produce winter storm chances, whereas static warm patterns cannot.
cutter to cold front isn't exactly inspirational, but i agree its better than sitting with 60 degree lows for an entire week+
The Canadian OP says what torch?
Ens already extending the pacific jet after the week 1.5 retraction towards the end of there respective runs and bringing back Aleutian troughing/western ridging… rushed or not, it’s gonna eventually come back 
Agreed. I think it would be a win just to be chilly around the holidays. I don't typically hold out a lot of hope for a winter storm in December. On the other hand, the desire to get one around Christmas offsets my otherwise cynical outlook and keeps me at least somewhat engaged in trying to find a rogue positive nugget here and there.
Dang, we're already hunting the torch after the torch. Unfortunate.
Well in this case a pacific jet extension like being shown on the ens would bring back +PNA, as long as the jet isn’t shifting to far poleward