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Pattern December Dud đź‘€

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Pretty interested to see what happens on the GFS here
 
Snowing in Boone.

I'm heading up there on the 14th. Hoping to see a little snow then.
 
No changes from my post yesterday. Still favoring “east of Statesville” for Monday night. Virga downsloping Mount Airy and Wilkesboro. Could see light snow around Concord to Asheboro. I may do a map. Should I do a map? Does anyone want a map from me
 
Snowing in Boone.

I'm heading up there on the 14th. Hoping to see a little snow then.
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My kid just sent me this from her parking lot at APP St. Amazing the difference in WX in just 90 miles.
 
First Call. Blue) Scattered Light Snow Dusting to quarter inch. Purple) Up to 1”. Accumulations likely given recent cold airmass it will be no issue sticking to cars, roofs and grass. Black ice could result in school closures due to warm roads and temps not getting warm enough for the buses. 🚌 IMG_4001.jpeg
 
very important to note, that change that occurred the last RAP run (vort more ~ tilted/further SW which resulted in more widespread snow) has occurred on the HRRR compared to 18z… might get a really good 00z HRRR run here shortly

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HRRR (end of the 23z run) 112D1979-3236-4A9C-ADBD-F202DF17B29B.gif
 
very important to note, that change that occurred the last RAP run (vort more ~ tilted/further SW which resulted in more widespread snow) has occurred on the HRRR compared to 18z… might get a really good 00z HRRR run here shortly

RAPView attachment 155269
HRRR (end of the 23z run) View attachment 155268
nam3km_z500_vort_us_fh23_trend.gif

Nam3 has generally moved that direction as well altho a bit less pronounced in that trough being as sharp
 
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