Pattern December Dud 👀

[jackendrickwx]

also, lmao check out AK flipping to AN heights in one run. goes to show @1300m point you just cannot put a lot of eggs in D5-6+ basket

 

[1300m]

Saturated on the GFS up to the 700mb level(which is at -15C) on Sunday. I think we've got a real shot with that look to break the streak.

You aren't kidding.

 

[BHS1975]

Excellent counterpoint. The GFS has actually trended better - western ridge a tad sharper, and the entire trough axis has shifted west. Most everything else has trended the other direction it seems, so the GFS is probably on borrowed time unless the Euro starts heading in that direction. It's right there if the northern stream would dig in and interact some with those streamers of PVA from the upper low off the southwest US coast. We're still in that window where anything could happen, just frustrating to see the western ridge piece starting to slip away on some guidance.
View attachment 154813

Yeap models have gotten very good the last few years with all the upgrades and more computing power. That window is closing fast.

 

[jackendrickwx]

yesterday 6z euro vs today. western ridge coming east a bit more eventually connnects with ridge over northern canada

 

[BullCityWx]

Obviously those maps the triad is favored but I think youre also good 85Nish

 

[BullCityWx]

Canadian has a winter storm Day 8ish

 

[Iceagewhereartthou]

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Closer to crickets then anything but some noise on the gefs

 

[NCSNOW]

Canadian has a winter storm Day 8ish

Made me look. 3-4 incher across mtns and Va. Ice in the Carolinas

 

[NCSNOW]

12z ukmet tilts to GFS for Sun. Unlike Can and Icon

 

[jackendrickwx]

Closer to crickets then anything but some noise on the gefs View attachment 154826

some members have that more clipper type deal but a few have an actual coastal low. i'd say clipper/nothing is most likely as it is

 

[1300m]

12z ukmet tilts to GFS for Sun. Unlike Can and Icon

View attachment 154828

Little light snow also. If we could just even get this solution (strong northern wave) with a little more digging southwest we could end the drought.

 

[1300m]

D-I-G.

 

[jackendrickwx]

12z yesterday


vs 12z today. seen worse

 

[KyloG]

Fairly big difference day 10+ over the arctice on the GEFS v/s EPS. Obviously we want the EPS...to block or not to block....who you got...

 

[jackendrickwx]

D-I-G.
View attachment 154832

we're really not terribly far off from ~something~

 

[BullCityWx]

Fairly big difference day 10+ over the arctice on the GEFS v/s EPS. Obviously we want the EPS...to block or not to block....who you got...

View attachment 154835

always always always prefer the current scenario

 

[BullCityWx]

Euro seems relatively supportive of the GFS WRT Sunday.

 

[1300m]

we're really not terribly far off from ~something~

Agreed. A light snow event with cold temperatures is not off the table.

 

[BullCityWx]

This is December 2000 type cold