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Pattern December Discussion

Starburst link said:
Lets not forget that December 2010 was also a moderate El Nino.  This year is quite different.
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It's more about multiple threats showing up on the models and eventually cashing in. The first couple might not work out, but eventually the models will get one right.
 
SoutheastRidge link said:
[quote author=Starburst link=topic=2.msg1524#msg1524 date=1481565485]
Lets not forget that December 2010 was also a moderate El Nino.  This year is quite different.
Click to expand...
Dec 2010 was a moderate La Nina I believe.
[/quote]

Hm, then this chart is wrong :|.  I know it was a fast transition year.  Larry where are you!

Brainfart.
 
SoutheastRidge link said:
[quote author=Starburst link=topic=2.msg1524#msg1524 date=1481565485]
Lets not forget that December 2010 was also a moderate El Nino.  This year is quite different.
Click to expand...
Dec 2010 was a moderate La Nina I believe.
[/quote]

AH yes.  I forgot that it changed in 2010 of May.  But 2010 of Feb was not bad.  My memory must be going. :(  Turns out it was a mod la nina by december of 2010.
 
Starburst link said:
[quote author=SoutheastRidge link=topic=2.msg1526#msg1526 date=1481565787]
[quote author=Starburst link=topic=2.msg1524#msg1524 date=1481565485]
Lets not forget that December 2010 was also a moderate El Nino.  This year is quite different.
Click to expand...
Dec 2010 was a moderate La Nina I believe.
[/quote]

Hm, then this chart is wrong :|.  I know it was a fast transition year.  Larry where are you!
[/quote] 09-10 was moderate el Nino and 10-11 moderate La nina
 
Who else is grilling out on Christmas?

814temp_new.gif
 
While some uncertainty exists this far out, there is a chance for some wintry precip in portions of north Georgia on Friday night and Saturday morning. For updates on your forecast throughout the week, stay tuned to your local National Weather Service page or visit our website at www.weather.gov/atlanta/

"And now, we'll be right back after these messages!..
 
Starburst link said:
Who else is grilling out on Christmas?

814temp_new.gif
Click to expand...
Lets remember this photo.  Something (GFS for one) tells me this might not materialize as far to the NW of Florida / S GA as shown
 
Storm5 link said:
the cmc also is very close to crushing the Carolinas mid week . just need it to go negative tilt and boom
f8349781e19baf6e763d555348041b84.jpg
88eaac2e5477f6e6dfb4c32a5d5f1cbf.jpg


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Click to expand...

Oh the what ifs...


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12z euro has light freezing rain and snow next Tuesday in LA northern miss and western tenn

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whatalife link said:
[quote author=Storm5 link=topic=2.msg1521#msg1521 date=1481564603]
the cmc also is very close to crushing the Carolinas mid week . just need it to go negative tilt and boom
f8349781e19baf6e763d555348041b84.jpg
88eaac2e5477f6e6dfb4c32a5d5f1cbf.jpg


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Click to expand...

Oh the what ifs...


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[/quote]
You mean whiffs?
 
Well NC was close to a scary event (depending on 850s) by hr 180.  Still a light event possible there from the run.
 
12z euro kicking the western energy on Tuesday and not cutting it off like the gfs does

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