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Pattern December Discussion

eps mean next Monday , that my friends is not a warm look
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Re: December Discussion

NorthGaWinter link said:
Not one member With snow...
for your BY....


they don't count ice.this isn't a snow pattern , if anything it would a wintry mix . I've said for weeks and still believe this pattern favors northern LA , Arkansas , Tenn and CAD regions on NC. if I were in those areas I would be very excited about the possibilities next week. this isn't a pattern for your area or mine 

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Ryan will be updating the model times to EST he said.
 
Re: December Discussion

Storm5 link said:
[quote author=NorthGaWinter link=topic=2.msg1575#msg1575 date=1481575136]
Not one member With snow...
for your BY....


they don't count ice.this isn't a snow pattern , if anything it would a wintry mix . I've said for weeks and still believe this pattern favors northern LA , Arkansas , Tenn and CAD regions on NC. if I were in those areas I would be very excited about the possibilities next week. this isn't a pattern for your area or mine 

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[/quote]

I wouldn't entirely discount the CAD areas of Upstate SC - at any rate, the Memphis metro looks great
 
drfranklin link said:
[quote author=Storm5 link=topic=2.msg1576#msg1576 date=1481575306]
[quote author=NorthGaWinter link=topic=2.msg1575#msg1575 date=1481575136]
Not one member With snow...
for your BY....


they don't count ice.this isn't a snow pattern , if anything it would a wintry mix . I've said for weeks and still believe this pattern favors northern LA , Arkansas , Tenn and CAD regions on NC. if I were in those areas I would be very excited about the possibilities next week. this isn't a pattern for your area or mine 

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[/quote]

I wouldn't entirely discount the CAD areas of Upstate SC - at any rate, the Memphis metro looks great
[/quote]
Yeah any cad area really , I agree with you. problem is for anyone to see anything next week it's pretty much all timing and I'm not talking about possible precip behind front Sunday or Monday . I'm talking about the possible wave Tuesday into wednesday. how fast does the cold move out , when does the precip arrive. thw general questions for southern winter weather lol

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Certainly think areas along &/or north & west of the Triad-Statesville-Gastonia and towards the blue ridge escarpment could see a light glazing of ice at the onset of the storm this Saturday before the in-situ CAD erodes...
 
since we all want a cold January , let's ignore the fact the PV is going to be getting its act together and consolidating towards the pole........

SD ruined my day

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Storm5 link said:
since we all want a cold January , let's ignore the fact the PV is going to be getting its act together and consolidating towards the pole........

SD ruined my day

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Sorry man I was just looking at it on the gfs and shaking my head

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Storm5 link said:
since we all want a cold January , let's ignore the fact the PV is going to be getting its act together and consolidating towards the pole........

SD ruined my day

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Game over...LOL!


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whatalife link said:
[quote author=Storm5 link=topic=2.msg1582#msg1582 date=1481577130]
since we all want a cold January , let's ignore the fact the PV is going to be getting its act together and consolidating towards the pole........

SD ruined my day

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Game over...LOL!


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[/quote]
Yeah, models are great this year! Be afraid
 
Tarheel1 link said:
[quote author=whatalife link=topic=2.msg1584#msg1584 date=1481577638]
[quote author=Storm5 link=topic=2.msg1582#msg1582 date=1481577130]
since we all want a cold January , let's ignore the fact the PV is going to be getting its act together and consolidating towards the pole........

SD ruined my day

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Game over...LOL!


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[/quote]
Yeah, models are great this year! Be afraid
[/quote]

LOL...Not afraid...It is what it is...


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Storm5 link said:
since we all want a cold January , let's ignore the fact the PV is going to be getting its act together and consolidating towards the pole........

SD ruined my day

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"the PV being disturbed by warming in the stratosphere . With enough warming , the PV will split in half,  and hopefully send a lobe over to our side of the world"  Is what I read on other post.
 
Re: December Discussion

accu35 link said:
[quote author=Storm5 link=topic=2.msg1582#msg1582 date=1481577130]
since we all want a cold January , let's ignore the fact the PV is going to be getting its act together and consolidating towards the pole........

SD ruined my day

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"the PV being disturbed by warming in the stratosphere . With enough warming , the PV will split in half,  and hopefully send a lobe over to our side of the world"  Is what I read on other post.
[/quote]
lol that's what we hope for every winter. when we are depending on a split you know we are screwed . the ole SSW event. Is Judah Cohen even still publishing blogs ?

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I'm gonna stick to the "models are not handling the cold correctly" cliche to make me feel better about the chances  ;D
 
Storm5 link said:
since we all want a cold January , let's ignore the fact the PV is going to be getting its act together and consolidating towards the pole........

SD ruined my day

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Yea 12z guidance is not a good look heading into late December. +AO/NAO/EPO. Troughs dumping out into Central US and Ridge off to the East.

12Z EPS at day 10
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12Z GEFS day 10
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Day 12
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Christmas
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Day 15 going towards New Years
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