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Pattern December Discussion

SD link said:
[quote author=Storm5 link=topic=2.msg833#msg833 date=1481300734]
surprise surprise the 12z gfs is much different

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Much less SE ridge
[/quote]

This run could get interesting
 
Re: December Discussion

we jumped the gun here comes mega ridge
b7084abdaa8904862af42a92b5611db7.jpg
00330729855b9080b0548e92ce1f07d3.jpg


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Next weekend we have cold air in place and a pretty disturbed northern gulf....hmmm - bah humbug :mad:
 
Supershow link said:
Next weekend we have cold air in place and a pretty disturbed northern gulf....hmmm

Sometimes these misses just set up things down the road.
 
No help in the north atlantic. Our best options are that low off of the Ca coast retrogrades under the Alaskan ridge or it kicks out fully with the trough crossing the US in front of it. Slowly moving onto the west coast like it does means SE ridge
 
To me this looks more like the Para with the cold and dry pattern - lets see where this goes 10 days from now...yes, I am reaching at this point
 
Storm5 link said:
I stopped watching , what a horrible run .

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Probably a good choice. We are seeing 30-50 degree swings between model runs post day 5 so obviously there is a ton of volatility and uncertainty.
 
Supershow link said:
To me this looks more like the Para with the cold and dry pattern - lets see where this goes 10 days from now...yes, I am reaching at this point
the 12z gfs looks nothing like anything the para has shown

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SD link said:
[quote author=Storm5 link=topic=2.msg843#msg843 date=1481301674]
I stopped watching , what a horrible run .

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Probably a good choice. We are seeing 30-50 degree swings between model runs post day 5 so obviously there is a ton of volatility and uncertainty.
[/quote]
JB'S bath water is head towards the drain

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metwannabe link said:
CMC still showing a potential ice threat for the CAD areas down into NE Ga around the 18th...
nothing a day ten Canadian threat to save the day. lol .

gfs had a nice cad setup just no moisture

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SD link said:
[quote author=Storm5 link=topic=2.msg843#msg843 date=1481301674]
I stopped watching , what a horrible run .

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Probably a good choice. We are seeing 30-50 degree swings between model runs post day 5 so obviously there is a ton of volatility and uncertainty.
[/quote]

It seems we do this every winter. The models are so different from each other, and even the same model has wild swings from run to run.
 
SD link said:
[quote author=Storm5 link=topic=2.msg847#msg847 date=1481301923]
December to remember , shorts at Christmas

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Vq5djeWOqbmSc.gif

[/quote]
I'll save this one for  when you have 33 and rain

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