Pattern December - Deal or No Deal?

[Brick Tamland]

It can be easily gone the next run...but when ensemble members are spitting out decent snows, it’s only a matter of time before the Op throws one down.

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That does look nice . The first part of December has been showing up as a time to watch for a whle, too.

 

[Tarheel1]

Winning..... said no one

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So we went from a possible wintry threat around the 1st of December, now it’s looking like torch city! Magical

 

[Brick Tamland]

So we went from a possible wintry threat around the 1st of December, now it’s looking like torch city! Magical

You should realize by now these run change every day, especially more than a week out. To paraphrase a saying from the great Dean Smith, if you live and die with every run, you're going to be dead a lot.

 

[whatalife]

Euro trying to show Brent some love on the last day of November.


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[Brent]

Euro trying to show Brent some love on the last day of November.


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ha that's funny, the meteogram first loaded and had no cold air and now it has an inch of snow :weenie:

 

[Brent]

 

[Tarheel1]

December to remember !!!!!

 

[Storm5]

View attachment 7584 View attachment 7585 December to remember !!!!!

GEFS disagrees and actually looks cold in the extended


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[whatalife]

View attachment 7584 View attachment 7585 December to remember !!!!!

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[GaWx]

Just about every recent gfs op run is warm in the 11-15 for the SE US and much of the country whereas the opposite is true for the last few GEFS/EPS/CDN ens runs! I realize the GFS has a warm bias but this much warmth?

 

[Brent]

Is the op gfs ever not warm honestly

 

[Brick Tamland]

View attachment 7584 View attachment 7585 December to remember !!!!!

GEFS disagrees and actually looks cold in the extended


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And this is why I had him on ignore.

 

[olhausen]

You should realize by now these run change every day, especially more than a week out. To paraphrase a saying from the great Dean Smith, if you live and die with every run, you're going to be dead a lot.

If these models were correct even 10 days out I’d have 40-50 inches of snow a year. Lol

 

[GaWx]

And like clockwork recently, the 12Z EPS 11-15 is cold.

 

[olhausen]

As far as the models showing warmth for December isn’t that what most predicted even months ago? A warm December followed by a near normal January and very cold February is what I thought most were predicting.

 

[GaWx]

As far as the models showing warmth for December isn’t that what most predicted even months ago? A warm December followed by a near normal January and very cold February is what I thought most were predicting.

But the model consensus is anything but warm in the 11-15. The GFS operational consensus is what has been consistently warm.

 

[1300m]

But the model consensus is anything but warm in the 11-15. The GFS operational consensus is what has been consistently warm.

Even the FV3 is relatively cold.

 

[whatalife]

Strike up the band for the Euro Control...Take w/a grain of salt

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[Avalanche]

6.5 for Chatham County. Time to cash out please.

 

[NoSnowATL]

If these models were correct even 10 days out I’d have 40-50 inches of snow a year. Lol

Preach it brother!