It's crazy the lack of snowcover across the US. Some areas who almost always have a White Christmas will have bare ground this year !
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Gfs getting colder and colder each run for those of you hoping to see a flake Friday
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That GFS is the devil
Since this GFS is being tossed in 2 weeks should we just disregard it and only look at FV3 ?
I think some are taking in what they see on the models way, way too quickly! You always, always have to remember things change all the time, no matter what. It may not be warm Christmas Eve/day after all for some. Matter of fact, it may not even be sunny and 60 for some. Both GFS and Euro show a wedge building in later in the day on Christmas Eve into Christmas day. A 1028 mb/1030-ish high builds in over the NE US. The 18z GFS shows a weak disturbance that may bring precip for some on Christmas Eve into Christmas day. As always, things could moisten up on future runs.
Also note, the GEFS starts off Christmas Eve and day quite chilly. If you factor in the 2m temps from the GEFS, and if there is precip over the CAD areas, it would be frozen precip. Christmas Eve night into early Christmas day. For now, it will be dry and cold for most.
Also note, the GEFS starts off Christmas Eve and day quite chilly. If you factor in the 2m temps from the GEFS, and if there is precip over the CAD areas, it would be frozen precip. Christmas Eve night into early Christmas day. For now, it will be dry and cold for most.
Progression of today's euro weeklies out through Jan 31.
As Kylo and Delta mentioned earlier today Aleutian Low begins developing post D10-D15 time frame, around New Years. +PNA/-EPO look into January with heights near GL.
As Kylo and Delta mentioned earlier today Aleutian Low begins developing post D10-D15 time frame, around New Years. +PNA/-EPO look into January with heights near GL.
That was a very good run. The CFS weekly looks similar.
https://twitter.com/ryanmaue/status/1074815158462091264?s=21
I think this winter is going to have fun times. Now remember, there is always the risk you could fall into one of those "snow holes", but overall looks like ample opportunities are in the cards this season
I need Larry to “ interrupt this program “ for our weekly euro weeklies update
Larry oh Larry ???
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Larry oh Larry ???
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All in on the FV3 New Year’s Eve east coast snow
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To each his own , that right there works for me . Enjoy your rain ???If only it were January
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That map is jacked up. The bottom edge is a little off, unless my annual average snowfall is .2”. On second thought, actually, it probably is. Never mind.
To each his own , that right there works for me . Enjoy your rain
Sounds like someone is in desperation mode if they are hugging a 336 hr FV3 output...
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That map is jacked up. The bottom edge is a little off, unless my annual average snowfall is .2”. On second thought, actually, it probably is. Never mind.
Good post.