Wintry December 4-7 Winter Precip Chance

[Webberweather53]

sigh

View attachment 55787

This suppressed look puts me in a pretty good spot down this way in the Sandhills. Just need heavy enough rates and a bit more cold air

 

[SD]

Any chance that could end up 5 mb deeper and 200 miles further west? Am I asking for too much here?

Ha that's the most frustrating part right. I feel like we did this last year

 

[Webberweather53]

Need a widespread dusting statewide. Has that ever happened? Or at least 90% of the state I know Oak Island ain’t happening.

February 12-13 2010 basically did that

 

[Metwannabe]

Ha that's the most frustrating part right. I feel like we did this last year

We did and I think it ended up about 100 miles west but still no cigar.....

 

[FallsLake]

I would happily take my 2" and tip my hat to the folks in the SE.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

February 12-13 2010 basically did that

View attachment 55796

Dang wonder if we can get something as real as that this winter, maybe mid dec can provide

 

[Metwannabe]

Ignoring the crappy thermals the 3k tried with the northern stream wave but it was too little too lateView attachment 55788View attachment 55789

Yeah this gives me the warm fuzzies and ticks me off at the same time

 

[Heelyes]

View attachment 55795

That was a great storm, two storms over a foot in a three year period. The good old days.

 

[SD]

Yeah this gives me the warm fuzzies and ticks me off at the same timeView attachment 55797

No kidding pull the trough west and slightly more neutral tilt and we would be in business

 

[Rain Cold]

What a....never mind. ☹

 

[Myfrotho704_]

It’s not like it’s far away, if you slow the southern stream wave here you can get back a thin swath of snow on the northern side of the band as the precip would be held back with cold air in place, the SS wave is improving on both nams and it’s getting slightly more juicier but the problem is it sped up a bit here

 

[Webberweather53]

Icon looks like ?

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Icon looks like ?

View attachment 55803

Toss since it looks bad ??

 

[Webberweather53]

Toss since it looks bad ??

Lol! Gonna need an epic nw trend to save us

 

[SD]

Icon is consistent

 

[Broken024]

Lol! Gonna need an epic nw trend to save us

It'll trend nw and then rain on everyone

 

[DopplerWx]

not to be too much of a weenie but we have seen much larger shifts than what we need even inside 24-48hrs. I don’t hate the look right now. If we had the perfect track right now we would all be sweating bullets.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Wasn’t there a suprise snow that produced especially for Burgaw NC/other places in ENC in March 2019 that came out of nowhere on modeling ?

 

[Cad Wedge NC]

not to be too much of a weenie but we have seen much larger shifts than what we need even inside 24-48hrs. I don’t hate the look right now. If we had the perfect track right now we would all be sweating bullets.

Correct .... I would much rather have it suppressed at this range, than to be watching that rain/snow line bounce around every run.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

......