Little improvement, but euro is kinda getting by itself here with this solution to hold back that wave over IL 
-
Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!
Wintry December 4-7 Winter Precip Chance
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Clem282340
Member
You talking about north of 85
More workable. 
EPS at H5 is better so far 
Not optimal
It’s at least better than 12z
Individual runs?
Give me a few weather models is so slow for some reason
End of the new hrrr was quite interesting 
Clem282340
Member
Looks like the 850s are crash
Hrrr from what I see has some pretty cold 850s compared to other models
Clem282340
Member
Yes it does. Does the hrrr have a cold bias
Don’t know yet, its a very new unknown model in the winter, but it’s done well with severe weather
Clem282340
Member
Looks like the storm is suppressed in south fl on 6z nam
Seems like some huge shifts in the modeling tonight from giving NOVA a decent hit to giving no one anything, particularly on the 00z UKMET and ECMWF.
Getting 2 steps in the right direction, getting that northern stream wave out ahead of southern stream one, and another good trend is the MA slowly losing their storm.
Precip plots and 850mb temps for 00z Tuesday. Not too bad. Most of the ones that have nice precip shields have pretty good 850 temps.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Come to papa. Cold air will be certainly lacking in my neck of the woods but I think we will have some legit QPF to play with down in Fayetteville. If we can somehow get moderate to heavy rates even down here could change to snow.