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Wintry December 4-7 Winter Precip Chance
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Well, you would think this would give a fun result but nothing on the surface on the 6Z NAM. Typically surface features are about the last thing models get right, or at least that is what I’m hanging my hat on?
ajr
Member
Bone dry.
Don't think this will work out. But we have a few more model runs. Let's hope the 12z runs turn it around. Otherwise the LR still has some potential.
Hrrrv4 is dryyy and shears our the S/S wave
72 hrs for a NW adjustment would be nothing if we were on the transition line but when it's offshore.....grrr
Edit: actually prefer too suppressed even at this stage, feel like models do underperform precip shields on NW side of slp often
At least the SS wave is improving on the nam
Nam slightly inches back toward a better look. 54-66 hours out can't help but start feeling like we are running out of time.
I'll guarantee you that precip shield ends up NW of current modeling but it'll be light white rain
Ignoring the crappy thermals the 3k tried with the northern stream wave but it was too little too late
The CAMs are horrible
Wow.... it’s literally so close 
Then the nam drops this just offshore
Need a widespread dusting statewide. Has that ever happened? Or at least 90% of the state I know Oak Island ain’t happening.
12Z models
Pain 
