Wintry December 4-7 Winter Precip Chance

[Ollie Williams]

The new hrrr looks good already at H5 (sad we’re having to use this to still try to compare H5 because modes are so bad right now) View attachment 55732

Vorticity:

 

[Ron Burgundy]

Not too far off for here in GA per the NAM. Haven't seen much talk for GA but I think we might be in for at least a flizzard if it gets slightly more moist.

Do we ever get snow in the metro ATL area from a coastal low off NC? Not saying we don’t - just don’t ever recall that.

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

Nam will not end good for snow lovers.

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[Myfrotho704_]

Nam will not end good for snow lovers.

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This run looks colder at H85 ? Don’t know what you mean by that

 

[Broken024]

This run looks colder at H85 ? Don’t know what you mean by that

It's mack

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

This run looks colder at H85 ? Don’t know what you mean by that

I only have until hour 54 rn. Seems very moisture starved

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[Ollie Williams]

Still not done, but we need that piece over PA to be over New England.

 

[Ollie Williams]

I only have until hour 54 rn. Seems very moisture starved

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I don't think precip will be a big issue this run, and I feel that it will fill in, but we need the cold air piece to separate from the moisture, otherwise, it rains.

Edit: You're right, the cold piece wastes the moisuture

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

I don't think precip will be a big issue this run, and I feel that it will fill in, but we need the cold air piece to separate from the moisture, otherwise, it rains.

Crazy. Nam has the moisture out by morning and gfs has it out Tuesday

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[Myfrotho704_]

Wait a minute.....

 

[Ollie Williams]

Crazy. Nam has the moisture out by morning and gfs has it out Tuesday

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Yup! That's why we need separation!

 

[tramadoc]

This run looks colder at H85 ? Don’t know what you mean by that

He doesn’t know what he’s talking about. Says he wants to learn and then throws ish up against the wall seeing what will stick.


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[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

He doesn’t know what he’s talking about. Says he wants to learn and then throws ish up against the wall seeing what will stick.


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I never said it was warm. I said it doesn't look good for snow lovers because there was very little moisture.

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[Jessy89]

Basically the Nam is dry


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[Snowfan]

The NAM showed another flizzard for parts of Georgia though it's a bit drier this run.

 

[SD]

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Need S/S wave to slow down a bit to

 

[Jessy89]

There’s still a lot of moving parts. This will either be a surprise or it will bust. Very tricky forecast that may not be clear till Sunday as to what will happen


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[Shaggy]

There’s still a lot of moving parts. This will either be a surprise or it will bust. Very tricky forecast that may not be clear till Sunday as to what will happen


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Cant be a bust when we really arent expecting much anyways lol. Plenty of time to watch trends.

 

[Jessy89]

Cant be a bust when we really arent expecting much anyways lol. Plenty of time to watch trends.

Gfs be interesting to see if it backs off


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