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Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
We are so good at failing lol
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Wintry December 4-7 Winter Precip Chance
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Yeah, it goes off the rails after 96 hr, but it just took a big step towards the GFS/GEFS camp in the short range when the trends are more meaningful & likely to stick which garners my attention. Curious how the next few cycles look because the EPS, GEFS, &/or GEPS are about to look real stupid on their placement of the upper low in the southwestern US & southern Rockies-plains
We’re basically back in the 90s right now, lol, has C19 really effected models that much ? I know it’s messed with sfc obs quite a bit
He hates me. He used to live in Elizabeth City (maybe still does, no idea) and I’d flame him on Twitter. He eventually blocked me for calling him an idiot and other choice words that the FCC deems offensive.
For me in the Charlotte area, the most recent example of that was February 12, 2010...there had been no mention of snow from that system for our area all week as it was expected to stay to the south. Then literally the night before, the model runs during the 5 and 6 o’clock newscasts started trending the system north and Brad P. put a chance of flurries into the forecast and then by 11pm he was talking about accumulations. That actually ended up being a fairly widespread 3-5 inch storm for the metro area and it was a mess because it hit right during the evening rush hour and temps had stayed around freezing all day.
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Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
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Oh wow all of that falls in a 12hr range in the NC/TN/VA mountains.
Move that low to the east of I-95 and the western half of NC and northern upstate could be in business. Even now I wonder if the soundings outside of the mountains are supportive of wet snow... I’m not where I can check them right now
Goodness gracious the rates in SW VA at H114 on 18z GFS have to be bonkers!
I am going with the general consensus from @Webberweather53 and @Myfrotho704_ that if we get a storm, it's literally going to come out of the middle of 'effin nowhere. Modeling has sucked, like all of 2020. I am not complaining though, that would be awesome to see something like that. Kinda like the Feb. 2013 event. That was such an amazing little storm, I think I got nearly 3 inches within a matter of hours.
close to not 1, 2 but 3 winter storms on the gfs, lol 
Dustjob 
It looks like what would happen if you have a toddler some crayons and let them have at it. Like, what even is this mess? Edit: Oh wait, never mind, it's 2020. I keep forgetting!
Dewpoint Dan
Member
Kind of looks like an elephant with the elephant's trunk in PA.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
