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Wintry December 4-7 Winter Precip Chance

Wonder if we’re in the range of models being so bad to where a winter storm could pop up under D2 for some part of the country like the old days, lol

It actually legitimately could here believe it or not, which is why I'm mildly intrigued even aside from a meteorological standpoint.

This is probably the biggest synoptic-scale discrepancy I've ever seen between the Euro & GFS ensembles 4 days out.

On a scale of 1-10, I'd rate this setup's uncertainty at a 12+.
 
Lmfao no joke a scenario like that is possible with how bad these models are right now
Growing up in the 80s and 90s, I can remember that the best storms usually happened when there was no mention of it by the weatherman until inside about 3 days out. Heck there were even a couple that there was literally no mention until the night before.
 
Growing up in the 80s and 90s, I can remember that the best storms usually happened when there was no mention of it by the weatherman until inside about 3 days out. Heck there were even a couple that there was literally no mention until the night before.
February 8th of this year sort of felt that way
 
A big beautiful ULL here and no cold air or moisture. Pain.

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_seus_21.png
 
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