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Wintry December 4-7 Winter Precip Chance

One of y'all learned folks mind explaining what went wrong here? What do we need to happen to get the cold push/moisture to fire up further south
 
One of y'all learned folks mind explaining what went wrong here? What do we need to happen to get the cold push/moisture to fire up further south
Euro tied the moisture/lift to the southern wave and kept it fairly consolidated so the best chance of Precip is along the track of that wave
 
Euro tied the moisture/lift to the southern wave and kept it fairly consolidated so the best chance of Precip is along the track of that wave

At least it’s fixable and the run didn’t go to something completely far and atrocious
 
At least it’s fixable and the run didn’t go to something completely far and atrocious
Agreed. This is a freaking mess though, that wave over the lakes is doing us no favors and the missed phase kind of sucks too. If you can slow the lakes wave down and phase the stuff over the deep south you might have something but would likely be looking at BL issues500hv.conus (22).png
 
Should start getting a better idea starting 0z tonight, since the northern stream shortwave makes it into Canada tonight 9D263044-FC77-46D7-A418-29015241D75A.jpeg
 
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