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Wintry December 28-29th Possible Winter Storm

Yeah I'm just about to call it in on this storm, sure there could be some ZR/IP here but it's looking increasingly less likely it will amount to a whole lot except perhaps maybe the lowlands of SC and far eastern GA
 
Webberweather53 said:
The German model folded on the 0z suite, yeah this one is probably over...
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So now we know, it sucks too. Darn it Eric. I really wanted a new model.

It has the New Years Day threat for us, and so does the Serbian. LOL
 
Why are the models so crappy that they can't get a winter storm right here more than 5 days out 99% of the time? So tired of seeing a good storm on the models 7 days out only for it to turn to nothing.
 
Sorry guys, hoping the weekend will work out for alot on here
 
A little light sleet here at 2am while I was out for my constitutional :) Waited 15 minutes or so and here can a sleet rain mix, and it's on going now at 2:30. Temps went up from 35 to 40 once the heavier precip started, so I don't have much hope for tomorrow morning. Waa is getting this one. Not cold enough. Edit: Now it's back to 38. Hopefully evap cooling will pull it back down some.
 
Brick Tamland said:
Why are the models so crappy that they can't get a winter storm right here more than 5 days out 99% of the time? So tired of seeing a good storm on the models 7 days out only for it to turn to nothing.
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You ask this question multiple times each winter. You already know the answer. Things have to pretty much come together exactly right in the SE to get a snowstorm. Models are incapable of resolving finer details at long leads — details that make the difference between snow, ice, rain, or nothing. That’s just the way it is.
 
1300m said:
Darn it guys, I didn't say this when I came back but this system was kind of my way of calling my shot. I intended to come back when the pattern was ripe to bear fruit and I really thought this period was going to get it done. Certainly not over with the pattern, but this storm is dead. We tried.
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Oh this pattern definitely produced some fruit, albeit they were all rotten and already half eaten by the animals. :)
 
1300m said:
Darn it guys, I didn't say this when I came back but this system was kind of my way of calling my shot. I intended to come back when the pattern was ripe to bear fruit and I really thought this period was going to get it done. Certainly not over with the pattern, but this storm is dead. We tried.
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It's coming. Something is.
 
It’s been several years since we had any snow accumulations over 4 inches


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
Brick Tamland said:
WxSouth still talking like there's a chance for this system on Facebook.
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If I'm not mistaken WxSouth is that clown that had a Tennessee Weather forum that is no longer active. He lives around Morristown and would argue and curse people out if the didn't agree with him. I think he's just a general contractor/handyman that likes weather as a hobby. I might be wrong but I'm 99.9% sure that's him. He used to post on TalkWeather and TennesseeWeather forum but he keeps getting banned from all the forums.
 
Uncle Nasty said:
If I'm not mistaken WxSouth is that clown that had a Tennessee Weather forum that is no longer active. He lives around Morristown and would argue and curse people out if the didn't agree with him. I think he's just a general contractor/handyman that likes weather as a hobby. I might be wrong but I'm 99.9% sure that's him. He used to post on other board and TennesseeWeather forum but he keeps getting banned from all the forums.
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Different guy. Robert is from NC around the Shelby area I believe. A quality guy and forecaster. He’s really good with microclimates and CAD.
 
Uncle Nasty said:
If I'm not mistaken WxSouth is that clown that had a Tennessee Weather forum that is no longer active. He lives around Morristown and would argue and curse people out if the didn't agree with him. I think he's just a general contractor/handyman that likes weather as a hobby. I might be wrong but I'm 99.9% sure that's him. He used to post on other board and TennesseeWeather forum but he keeps getting banned from all the forums.
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Your wrong. He lives nowhere near TN
 
Uncle Nasty said:
If I'm not mistaken WxSouth is that clown that had a Tennessee Weather forum that is no longer active. He lives around Morristown and would argue and curse people out if the didn't agree with him. I think he's just a general contractor/handyman that likes weather as a hobby. I might be wrong but I'm 99.9% sure that's him. He used to post on other board and TennesseeWeather forum but he keeps getting banned from all the forums.
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I thought he lived somewhere in the mountains of NC. Maybe, he moved. I'm not sure. He's also someone who isn't combative. At least, I've never saw that side of him when he use to post on message boards or per his Facebook page.

I think you have the wrong person.
 
Yeh Robert from wxsouth is good. He's been saying since August that this winter would be better than everyone predicted.
 
ColaSnow said:
I thought he lived somewhere in the mountains of NC. Maybe, he moved. I'm not sure. He's also someone who isn't combative. At least, I've never saw that side of him when he use to post on message boards or per his Facebook page.

I think you have the wrong person.
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He's still very active on Facebook, not so much Twitter anymore.
 
The 12Z Euro is ramping the QPF up a bit near the SAV-CHS corridor vs its prior run. The prior run had ~0.03" at most in each city (not airports). Now each city gets ~0.10" and the 0.25" line is 50 miles closer and only 10-15 miles to the SE or barely offshore. The 0.50" line is only 50 miles SE. Don't ignore this especially in this area in case it were to ramp up further and once again become a significant threat.
 
GaWx said:
The 12Z Euro is ramping the QPF up a bit near the SAV-CHS corridor vs its prior run. The prior run had ~0.03" at most in each city (not airports). Now each city gets ~0.10" and the 0.25" line is 50 miles closer and only 10-15 miles to the SE or barely offshore. The 0.50" line is only 50 miles SE. Don't ignore this especially in this area in case it were to ramp up further and once again become a significant threat.
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Is the qpf confined to the coast again?
 
GaWx said:
The 12Z Euro is ramping the QPF up a bit near the SAV-CHS corridor vs its prior run. The prior run had ~0.03" at most in each city (not airports). Now each city gets ~0.10" and the 0.25" line is 50 miles closer and only 10-15 miles to the SE or barely offshore. The 0.50" line is only 50 miles SE. Don't ignore this especially in this area in case it were to ramp up further and once again become a significant threat.
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The ICON held onto a strip of .20" across SAV/CHS as well. I think today's shot of moisture interfered with some of the interactions for the THU/FRI wave. Disconcerting though if we go back into a warning level event
 
GaWx said:
The 12Z Euro is ramping the QPF up a bit near the SAV-CHS corridor vs its prior run. The prior run had ~0.03" at most in each city (not airports). Now each city gets ~0.10" and the 0.25" line is 50 miles closer and only 10-15 miles to the SE or barely offshore. The 0.50" line is only 50 miles SE. Don't ignore this especially in this area in case it were to ramp up further and once again become a significant threat.
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Inched northward a little bit. WPC is confident that 0.10" amounts will occur in Central Southern GA to Southeast NC.
 
Look at Last nights system I say no more... precip expanding to NW further is never out of question
 
Coastal & Southern GA is definitely still in this. Moisture usually gets more involved, HRRR may be the only warning you guys get soon; lol.
 
GaWx said:
Slight uptick SE coast in qpf 18Z NAM vs 12Z. Cities: SAV 0.25" but more just east. CHS 0.10" but 0.25" lurking only 15 miles offshore.
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Larry,
Am so keeping fingers crossed for you.
Send me a pic if and when!
Best!
Phil
 
Uncle Nasty said:
If I'm not mistaken WxSouth is that clown that had a Tennessee Weather forum that is no longer active. He lives around Morristown and would argue and curse people out if the didn't agree with him. I think he's just a general contractor/handyman that likes weather as a hobby. I might be wrong but I'm 99.9% sure that's him. He used to post on other board and TennesseeWeather forum but he keeps getting banned from all the forums.
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Wrong guy.... Robert with WxSouth is a friend of mine and he would never act like that. He is a local Met from Shelby NC. Great guy...
 
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