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Wintry December 28-29th Possible Winter Storm

GEFS looks much weaker with that primary vs a coastal stronger low. That should diminish the ice impact somewhat, I would think.
 
Awesome thanks! CMC is arguably mostly IP around KCHS with ZR south of the KCHS WFO!
Storm..that'd be great for you folks in the low country if it trended to a more IP scenario, as well for us here in the Midlands. Doesn't the CMC typically do well with Carolina winter wx situations? Be nice to see the other models with a similar look.
 
Storm..that'd be great for you folks in the low country if it trended to a more IP scenario, as well for us here in the Midlands. Doesn't the CMC typically do well with Carolina winter wx situations? Be nice to see the other models look similar.

The CMC has done well with SE Winter Weather Events in the past ...yes.

Just looked at the FV3 model...wow, worse than the GFS with precip...drier, less wedging.
 
Dang, the FV3 is gonna be the GFS replacement too. Hope that isn't an omen of things to come. I know it's still in its infancy stages though.
 
Not a good 12z suite to say the least. If Euro follows we may be in trouble. Typically SE storms though can be a 1-2 punch. I can remember countless times where we get a small event preceding a major
 
On January 8th 1973 ATL had over 3 inches liquid at 26 degrees I remember it well, no power for 17 days, that may never be repeated. Believe me it was not fun after even 3 days of hell at my young age of 20 at the time..
Yeah, I don't know anyone who lived thru that that thinks zr is anything but awful, lol. Most people have only seen a half inch to an inch, which is bad enough, but nothing at all like that night in 73, with all the blue lights and cannon shots from exploding transformers and every street impassible from downed poles and trees. The cracking of limbs, and falling trees, just waiting thru the night, listening to the wind, and hoping your house doesn't collapse on top of you when the trees hit, lol. Hot wires bouncing all over the roads, yards and sidewalks. Cooking on sterno stoves, with no heat if you were all elecric, with no fire place, and wood stacked up dry. Anyone that thinks zr is better than nothing better hope they never see the likes of that :) Augusta had it really bad a few years back, but it still wasn't Atl in 73, and I think they had up to two inches. T
 
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