Folks the trend south is good.. as we get to 24 to 48hrs out it will adjust NW a little!!
The problem is too much of a south trend and this turns into a sheared out wave with a pitiful precip fieldFolks the trend south is good.. as we get to 24 to 48hrs out it will adjust NW a little!!
1Time Euro comes out?
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Pivotal has 925mb temps for CMC
http://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ggem&p=925th&rh=2017122412&fh=120&r=us_se&dpdt=
Technically it begins at 12:30Time Euro comes out?
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Storm..that'd be great for you folks in the low country if it trended to a more IP scenario, as well for us here in the Midlands. Doesn't the CMC typically do well with Carolina winter wx situations? Be nice to see the other models with a similar look.Awesome thanks! CMC is arguably mostly IP around KCHS with ZR south of the KCHS WFO!
Might be enough cold air to start as a mix of sleet and freezing rain but our area should warm above freezing rather quickly with this current setup.What about southeast TN in this setup? Will CAD affect our area?
Storm..that'd be great for you folks in the low country if it trended to a more IP scenario, as well for us here in the Midlands. Doesn't the CMC typically do well with Carolina winter wx situations? Be nice to see the other models look similar.
What is that middle GA area you speak of? Lol12z UKMET was indeed a whiff outside of coastal areas of the Carolinas and middle Georgia towards Macon
That seems kind weird, the UKmet is usually more consistent.12z UKMET was indeed a whiff outside of coastal areas of the Carolinas and middle Georgia towards Macon
Yeah, I don't know anyone who lived thru that that thinks zr is anything but awful, lol. Most people have only seen a half inch to an inch, which is bad enough, but nothing at all like that night in 73, with all the blue lights and cannon shots from exploding transformers and every street impassible from downed poles and trees. The cracking of limbs, and falling trees, just waiting thru the night, listening to the wind, and hoping your house doesn't collapse on top of you when the trees hit, lol. Hot wires bouncing all over the roads, yards and sidewalks. Cooking on sterno stoves, with no heat if you were all elecric, with no fire place, and wood stacked up dry. Anyone that thinks zr is better than nothing better hope they never see the likes of that Augusta had it really bad a few years back, but it still wasn't Atl in 73, and I think they had up to two inches. TOn January 8th 1973 ATL had over 3 inches liquid at 26 degrees I remember it well, no power for 17 days, that may never be repeated. Believe me it was not fun after even 3 days of hell at my young age of 20 at the time..
Like x 1,000,000There isn’t one gefs member that’s as cold as the 12z cmc. It’s kikely too cold that run