NAM is running.
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Catfish
Member
Yeah and maybe just a link to the AFD. Thanks for posting it though, that’s about where I’d expect FFC to be at this point. They busted on the last storm as bad as the local mets.
I'm curious about Tuesday night into Wednesday. Looks like we are fighting a warm BL. I wouldn't be shocked up see this start showing up as more ip/snow north of 64Euro and NAM continue to come in a little more moist with some early overrunning precip for Wednesday morning, temps are marginal but very close for a few to a little appetizer before the main meal
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gawxnative
Member
Well that do have ZR Wording in my zone, off and on during Wed-Fri....
Still a few days out, but NWS MEG is on this mid-week storm for my neck of the woods:
An unsettled and cold weather pattern looks to set up over the Mid
South from the middle of next week into the New Years holiday
weekend. A series of disturbances should move through the region
and spread moisture over the cold airmass that should remain in
place. This may support several bouts of winter type precipitation
over the region beginning next Wednesday and continuing through
the remainder of the extended forecast period. It still remains
too early to pinpoint exact impacts or accumulations at this point
as uncertainty still remains. Regardless, a colder and moister
pattern looks increasingly likely with details worked out as move
closer in time to each event and confidence increases.
An unsettled and cold weather pattern looks to set up over the Mid
South from the middle of next week into the New Years holiday
weekend. A series of disturbances should move through the region
and spread moisture over the cold airmass that should remain in
place. This may support several bouts of winter type precipitation
over the region beginning next Wednesday and continuing through
the remainder of the extended forecast period. It still remains
too early to pinpoint exact impacts or accumulations at this point
as uncertainty still remains. Regardless, a colder and moister
pattern looks increasingly likely with details worked out as move
closer in time to each event and confidence increases.
Gfs looked better on 6z run for sure. Cold rain here, but trending in the direction of cmc and euro
Cary_Snow95
Member
12z looks like it may be slightly flatter entering the pac nw
Stormsfury
Member
Yeah the 06z GFS was colder but really didn't respect the wedge idea as much as it should have given the strength of the parent high. If the 12z suite holds the course or is even strongee with the wedge signature, some interesting AFDs and WPC headlines are forthcoming...
I agree. As if now, until see some changes, I think you and I are in play as well for ZR
Cary_Snow95
Member
CMC has the Wednesday event
NE wind really starting now
Td really starting to drop now
Storm5
Member
CMC going for broke
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Cary_Snow95
Member
Don’t have the p type maps yet but cmc looks like a snow event
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
By 72 hr on the CMC, the eastward displacement of the trough over the GOA gave a big kick to our s/w over the Rockies and flattened the wave relative to the last run, however (as I noted in the January discussion) w/ the stronger disturbance on the 27th, this intensified the longwave trough associated w/ our 50-50 low, allowing our s/w to dig more...
dang...ya, to say thats much colder would be an understatement..loolCMC going for broke
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Cary_Snow95
Member
CMC is all snow for most of NC
