Wintry December 28-29th Possible Winter Storm

[Metwannabe]

somebody got the good GEFS maps? Just looking on college of dupage still several with big dog systems but several suppressed systems, a little all over the place but unlike the other day when there were cutters now there are suppressed systems. We are in a much better place if it's a winter storm you desire

 

[stormcentral]

Ouch..

Omg a devestating icestorm for Chattanooga. Would be the worse one in years. Generators for Christmas? No thanks!

 

[whatalife]

somebody got the good GEFS maps? Just looking on college of dupage still several with big dog systems but several suppressed systems, a little all over the place but unlike the other day when there were cutters now there are suppressed systems. We are in a much better place if it's a winter storm you desire

They are slow coming out at wxbell.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[stormcentral]

What in the holy hell? How would my area end up being part of this? Cad into SE TN?

We get CAD sometimes. Actually alot. Especially northern GA though.

 

[whatalife]

somebody got the good GEFS maps? Just looking on college of dupage still several with big dog systems but several suppressed systems, a little all over the place but unlike the other day when there were cutters now there are suppressed systems. We are in a much better place if it's a winter storm you desire

I desire one but I’m not sure I desire what is being forecasted in my area


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[Metwannabe]

They are slow coming out at wxbell.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

You pay your bill? Lol
This is what pivotal shows but really don't like their maps for gefs and again would be lots of ice

 

[Catfish]

Yeahhh if this modest overrunning event is any more impressive than forecast could have some issues esp in NC, SC, & GA. Not sure if many remember but the February 2014 event was preceded by a separate, more modest overrunning event on the 11th which produced more than 10" of snow in New Bern, NC, about 3-4" fell in Fayetteville, which is remarkable considering most forecasts called for an inch at most even in New Bern. Oops

Yes I remember that. The day before in N GA got a nice little thump of snow before the main sleet/zr fest next day.

 

[whatalife]

You pay your bill? Lol
This is what pivotal shows but really don't like their maps for gefs and again would be lots of ice

Yeah I’m with you on that...


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[whatalife]

If my memory serves, initially it appeared around 4 days out this was going to be one really strong wave and it ended up coming out in two pieces.

You would be correct and that’s a good point to think about...


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[Catfish]

You would be correct and that’s a good point to think about...
I thought I remember that storm being described in 3 phases by local ATL Mets. Of course, Glenn Burns also was calling that storm “biblical.”

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[campamy]

We get CAD sometimes. Actually alot. Especially northern GA though.

Granted I've only been here about 8 years now, but I don't think I remember anything like being shown on these maps. If it's ice South we have snow. But CAD strong enough to filter over the ridges and mountains to this extent would have to be maybe historical? I need to learn to look up analogs.

 

[Cary_Snow95]

From the crappy Gefs maps the mean is improved but still not as good as the 12z obviously

 

[GeorgiaGirl]

Yes I remember that. The day before in N GA got a nice little thump of snow before the main sleet/zr fest next day.

Cosign to this too. I was in NW GA at this time and got more snow than I thought I would the day before the main show. I think at least 4" and I think that day was calling for just an inch or two.

 

[Snowflowxxl]

Who’s up for the Euro?

 

[Webberweather53]

If my memory serves, initially it appeared around 4 days out this was going to be one really strong wave and it ended up coming out in two pieces.

Yeah that's exactly what transpired and the models didn't see this minor detail until we got within a day of the event but even then the first event ended up producing more precip further N than forecast as is often the case in overrunning

 

[Cary_Snow95]

Anyone have the quality GEFS panels. Curious if it amped the sw up again

 

[Ron Burgundy]

925s look to be about -2 to -4 across Atl Metro at hour 120. It then warms up above freezing as heavy rates move in around hour 132 and on. I don't know how cold the 925mb layer would need to be to get IP especially since 850s are +7 to +8 across Atlanta at onset of precip.

Sent from my SM-N950U using Tapatalk

Sheesh. Oh well - thanks for posting!

 

[$alt]

If the Euro holds on to an icy solution for us, watch out. There are too many signs; from the earlier GEFS runs, to the GGEM ensembles. Areas could literally be flirting with actual 0.75 - 1.00 inch freezing rain totals with winds gusting from 15-25MPH as the low develops off the coast.

Personally, for mby, I want the Euro to lose this idea.

 

[Psalm 148:8]

I have been through several ice storms here on the west ga/east al border... guidance saying it would not get down this far... wrong....many a time i hear from forecasters is that models underdo the wedge... that cold air drains right down 85 and even into the couple counties on the East Alabama border...a rough one pounded us in either 1980 or 81.....and again in 2000....guess we are due. Tony, i would happily take sleet fest instead.

 

[Arcc]

Pffft rates are plenty heavy enough and temp upper 20's to around 30

Man, this is getting way to close for comfort.