Wintry December 23-26 2022 Winter Weather and Cold

[Wild Weather Monger]

Hmm.

 

[tractor girl]

Hmm.
View attachment 128575

We'll be on the cutting edge of that rain/snow line, if it maintains through Tuesday.

 

[DopplerWx]

 

[Snowfan]

 

[tractor girl]

full sequence:

 

[buckinbronco]

NAM joining the party

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

We'll be on the cutting edge of that rain/snow line, if it maintains through Tuesday.

If we get enough precip to matter, snow will win out. Forecast soundings look solid to me for both of our areas. Coming in after sundown helps too.

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

Still running. But another Hi-Res model appears to be joining the party.

 

[buckinbronco]

3k gives south Atlanta metro a nice band

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

So, now that our little disturnbance has been fully sampled this afternoon, it would appear it has a little more kick than initially thought.

 

[buckinbronco]

So, now that our little disturnbance has been fully sampled this afternoon, it would appear it has a little more kick than initially thought.

It’s also nice to see the euro has trended wetter for North GA. Granted it isn’t as impressive as the short range models.

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

It’s also nice to see the euro has trended wetter for North GA. Granted it isn’t as impressive as the short range models.

The funny thing is I hadn't even looked at the 18Z euro. You're right, and with solid snow soundings too. All will depend on just how fast/if we can saturate the column.

 

[rburrel2]

six to midnight! We're cooking with something tonight boys! Dustings are possible! Short range models keying in on North Ga through Upstate SC for a dusting to an inch or two. lmfg!

 

[mydoortotheworld]

What is it with N GA and last second modeled snow? See Feb 2020

 

[buckinbronco]

GFS showing signs of life too

 

[Snowfan]

...Sunday Evening Update...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1029 PM EST Sun Dec 25 2022

We are continuing to monitor a mid-level shortwave that could
bring a brief period of light snow showers and flurries to North
Georgia Monday afternoon and evening. Models have become much
more moist and aggressive with this system over the last 24 hours,
and it could be just enough to squeeze out some wintry precip as
far south as the Atlanta metro. However, given forecast air
temperatures, road temperatures, and dryness near the ground, we
are not expecting any impacts or accumulations at this time. If
any accumulations outside a trace of snow do occur, it`s likely
they would remain confined to higher elevations above 1500ft in
elevation, where afternoon temperatures should generally remain in
the low 30s.

FFC

 

[J.C.]

 

[rburrel2]

ok.. the 03z RAP is punking me, right? If we get a dusting from this it'll be the best Christmas present ever.

 

[cyclogent]

hi-res Canadian, NAM, RAP, HRRR, GFS all keying on southeast TN and northwest GA tomorrow. not the usual sweet spot for a clipper and it isn't much (1/4" to 1"), but let's do this.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

If I don’t get a flurry out of this then idk how to get snow anymore