Wintry December 23-26 2022 Winter Weather and Cold

[Rain Cold]

I feel like we won't get a good handle on timing and how cold the front will be until we're in good range of the NAM, RGEM, ect.

Good range of the NAM appears to be 3 hours out, given recent evidence.

 

[SimeonNC]

The Euro has about the same timing with the ICON with the front, it's just a lot warmer.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Good range of the NAM appears to be 3 hours out, given recent evidence.

Yep. Your not lying

 

[iGRXY]

Absolutely!

View attachment 127580

You take this 7 days out every single time. This is perfect and needs to stay here for another 3 days

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

The Euro has about the same timing with the ICON with the front, it's just a lot warmer.

I feel like warmer is a hard word to use with this front ? but yeah relative to the model

 

[bigstick10]

Does this make sense at all??? From KATL

THURSDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy. Rain, mainly in the evening. Colder with lows in the lower 20s. Chance of rain 90 percent

 

[Tokenfreak]

This cold enough?View attachment 126598

Yep. Your not lying View attachment 127583

Isn't that from earlier this year?

 

[Drizzle Snizzle]

Does this make sense at all??? From KATL

THURSDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy. Rain, mainly in the evening. Colder with lows in the lower 20s. Chance of rain 90 percent

Obviously the temps will plummet after the rain has ended.

 

[bigstick10]

Obviously the temps will plummet after the rain has ended.

Not my point, but thanks..

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Lol pretty massive Change this GFS run. Can’t make this up

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Lol pretty massive Change this GFS run. Can’t make this up View attachment 127588View attachment 127589View attachment 127591

I’m actually so excited to experience this frontal passage it will be one of the wilder weather moments of the year

 

[Myfrotho704_]

This faster trend actually helped the wave around the SW so far this run as well. Still think it gets crushed but we’ll see

 

[iGRXY]

Wave is better in the SW so lets see where it goes.

 

[Arcc]

The interesting part is that isn’t the wave the Icon is keying on.

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

This faster trend actually helped the wave around the SW so far this run as well. Still think it gets crushed but we’ll see View attachment 127592

Here’s 6z the key will be to watch the piece of energy coming down from Canada and see how it interacts with this change

 

[SimeonNC]

Yep, GFS caved big time. Front clears the western piedmont by 1pm lol.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Run to run changes in insane. Under day 7

 

[Arcc]

I think the GFS will be too flat out west to get an Icon like result.

 

[SnowwxAtl]

I think the GFS will be too flat out west to get an Icon like result.

It's a start though

 

[weatherfide]

Question: Does the skew-T need to have full saturation in the dendritic growth zone and below to indicate snow? Would this skew-T represent "virga" or would there be a chance that snow would fall?