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Wintry December 23-26 2022 Winter Weather and Cold

The weenie in me would really love to see this front deliver for the upstate. I only have one day forecast with a high below freezing, which is a 29 on Friday. I mean that is cold for here (compared to average), but pretty meh compared to so many in AL/MS/TN/NC with forecast highs in the teens. My lowest temp forecast is just 12, again; pretty meh compared to most. I really hate living in the lee of the mtns for these setups, we just don't get the real experience, even compared to our other SE peers.

I'd love to see a high in the teens; never remembering seeing that before here, and I'd love to have a shot at below zero temps, haven't seen that since Feb 96.
 
I’m honestly interested in the prospect of seeing a small VERY small window of time we could finish with some snowflakes with the arctic front.. tons of FGEN forcing along the front.. very dramatic drop in temperature dew point and such .. but we really need the cold to be lined up with the front or the precip to lag behind it just a bit. If the precip is ahead of it then it’s probably just a quick rain to frigid temps. I think the further north you get in the line the better shot you have. NAM and HRRR have this line of intense showers with the front. I could see this happening but we will see.
 
Makeitsnow said:
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12z hrrr is frigid..showing sub zero temps fri am into northern Alabama and even ga. Thats quite a bit colder than other guidance
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Yeah, this is pretty intense. I’m doubtful we’ll be in the single digits by Friday morning. If we had snow cover I could see it. We’ll just have to wait and see. It will be a wild ride regardless.
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Iceagewhereartthou said:
The weenie in me would really love to see this front deliver for the upstate. I only have one day forecast with a high below freezing, which is a 29 on Friday. I mean that is cold for here (compared to average), but pretty meh compared to so many in AL/MS/TN/NC with forecast highs in the teens. My lowest temp forecast is just 12, again; pretty meh compared to most. I really hate living in the lee of the mtns for these setups, we just don't get the real experience, even compared to our other SE peers.

I'd love to see a high in the teens; never remembering seeing that before here, and I'd love to have a shot at below zero temps, haven't seen that since Feb 96.
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You are more abt to get that from a super strong cad, never from the NW.
 
Iceagewhereartthou said:
The weenie in me would really love to see this front deliver for the upstate. I only have one day forecast with a high below freezing, which is a 29 on Friday. I mean that is cold for here (compared to average), but pretty meh compared to so many in AL/MS/TN/NC with forecast highs in the teens. My lowest temp forecast is just 12, again; pretty meh compared to most. I really hate living in the lee of the mtns for these setups, we just don't get the real experience, even compared to our other SE peers.

I'd love to see a high in the teens; never remembering seeing that before here, and I'd love to have a shot at below zero temps, haven't seen that since Feb 96.
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low teens/upper single digits (which I think happens east of the mountains in some areas) in December is still some of the coldest air in a long long time. Windchill there after front passes is around 0. If I was a cold weenie I wouldnt complain at all about that. It’s one of the coldest December cold snaps in a while. That’s like complaining about getting 4 inches of snow while a area next to you got 6
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
low teens/upper single digits (which I think happens east of the mountains in some areas) in December is still some of the coldest air in a long long time. Windchill there after front passes is around 0. If I was a cold weenie I wouldnt complain at all about that. It’s one of the coldest December cold snaps in a while. That’s like complaining about getting 4 inches of snow while a area next to you got 6
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From a meteorology standpoint I’m absolute geeking out about this arctic front. This will be such a crazy phenomenon that we just aren’t used to seeing down here. And it’s going to deliver some of the coldest air we’ve seen for Christmas in over a decade … yeah that’ll get my meteorology tail wagging!
 
BullCityWx said:
The cold front passage is now showing up on the LR HRRR. It pushes through earlier than the other models and would setup a cold Friday.
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Any moisture make it east of the Apps with CAA
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
low teens/upper single digits (which I think happens east of the mountains in some areas) in December is still some of the coldest air in a long long time. Windchill there after front passes is around 0. If I was a cold weenie I wouldnt complain at all about that. It’s one of the coldest December cold snaps in a while. That’s like complaining about getting 4 inches of snow while a area next to you got 6
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Maybe, but I hate to be on the fringe of a "historic event" when it's so close to me; kinda like missing out on the Jan 2000 snowstorm, the Feb 2004 snow, or the cold from Feb 2021. Some people like historic cold for it's own sake.

It's pretty easy to see the difference. Here's Florence AL:

  • Chance
    Showers
    High: 53 °F
  • Thursday
    Night
    Thursday Night: Rain and snow showers, becoming all snow after 9pm, then gradually ending. Low around 4. Wind chill values between -3 and -13. Blustery, with a west northwest wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 35 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    Blustery.
    Rain/Snow
    then Partly
    Cloudy
    Low: 4 °F
  • Friday

    Friday: Sunny and cold, with a high near 16. West northwest wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.

    Cold
    High: 16 °F
  • Friday
    Night
    Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 7.

    Mostly Clear
    Low: 7 °F
  • Saturday

    Saturday: Sunny and cold, with a high near 22.

    Cold
    High: 22 °F
  • Saturday
    Night
    Saturday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 11.

    Mostly Clear
    Low: 11 °F
  • Christmas
    Day
    Christmas Day: Sunny, with a high near 31.

    Sunny
    High: 31 °F

And here's Greenville. Same latitude and higher elevation, just east of Apps.

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Rain likely, mainly before 11am. Patchy fog before 2pm. Otherwise, cloudy, with a high near 45. North northeast wind 5 to 9 mph becoming light and variable in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

    Rain Likely
    and Patchy
    Fog
    High: 45 °F
  • Thursday
    Night
    Thursday Night: Rain likely, mainly after 1am. Cloudy, then gradually becoming partly cloudy, with a low around 26. South southwest wind 6 to 11 mph increasing to 12 to 17 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 32 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

    Rain Likely
    Low: 26 °F
  • Friday

    Friday: A chance of rain and snow before 7am, then a slight chance of snow between 7am and 8am. Sunny, with a high near 30. Breezy, with a west wind 18 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 36 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Breezy.
    Chance
    Rain/Snow
    then Sunny
    High: 30 °F
  • Friday
    Night
    Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 13.

    Mostly Clear
    Low: 13 °F
  • Saturday

    Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 33.

    Sunny
    High: 33 °F
  • Saturday
    Night
    Saturday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 16.

    Mostly Clear
    Low: 16 °F
  • Christmas
    Day
    Christmas Day: Sunny, with a high near 37.

    Sunny
    High: 37 °F
 
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