I like this GFS run better already 
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Wintry December 23-26 2022 Winter Weather and Cold
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Yea definitely.. good lead time. Once we get this 1st system out the way, models will begin to show more precip for 2nd system I think.
Tbh I don't think precip will end up being the issue, just need good timing so that we still have cold air in place.... gonna be a close one, thread the needle, it's what we do best in the south
Vortex is farther SE, which is better since that would mute the WAR, but also lows more space for digging energy and amplification. That trend imo is a win win so far this run, let’s see what happens, hopefully that leading wave doesn’t kill moisture supply or doesn’t allow system to get stuck
Don’t like the leader in the SE
Anddddd wet fart on the gfs
First leader wave is a big issue here, need it less amplified and flatter
NCSNOW
Member
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- Dec 2, 2016
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Cant get em lined up for the top one to come down in rear and set things off. To much press from the NE gyre
buckinbronco
Member
Yeah that first piece of energy needs to get out of the way
AJ1013
Member
Looks like some nasty ass cold rain here
Wish the leader wave would become the dominate one. Cold air wouldn't be any issue then. Lol
SnowwxAtl
Member
Was this the same issues on the ICON?
No, which is why I’m not to concerned about it honestly
Initially yeah, but for our pacific wave it’s not the NE gyre that’s the issue, it’s the initial digging energy in the SE messing things up before our main pacific wave arrives
Already a huge difference on the CMC vs GFS, notice, just like the icon, the leader wave is already in SC/GA and getting out of here. Not close to the panic button yet 
We're good, I mean I still remember when the GFS had this for tomorrow's system.... lol
buckinbronco
Member
Yeah that GFS run was kind of wonky with the energy. Good to see it’s on its own with that idea for now.
Less amped .. less ridge.. meh 