Wintry December 23-26 2022 Winter Weather and Cold

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

What is that on the 26th that the GFS is showing? Clipper? If we can get that baby to close off and not be so moisture starved. I think we had a system in Jan/Feb 2017 that dropped in and closed off then produced some decent numbers east of the mountains.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

The way we trended the west coast is remarkable View attachment 127778

Just need to be careful and not have western ridge to far west

 

[griteater]

This morning's UKMet looks a little better than tonight's GFS when the wave is running thru Nebraska (better spacing on the UKMet)

 

[iGRXY]

The changes we are seeing in the medium range are crazy. Energy coming down into the US is stronger and the ridge out west looks better as we are connecting with the -NAO

 

[J1C1111]

It wouldn't be so bad if it wasn't windy

I know. Your right. That wind will cut you in half.

 

[griteater]

Just need to be careful and not have western ridge to far west

Yeah it has to drop in just right....small needle, but at least we have a shot given the cold out front. But delay just a bit, and the cold is gone

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Pretty lovely trend here

 

[iGRXY]

Much better consolidated energy in the plains with further separation from the TPV. Taller ridge. I expect some good members this run

 

[crecre9]

The Icon continues to be crazy, if not more crazy...

Late afternoon temps on Friday, this would be unheard of for an afternoon, and I just don't see it.

View attachment 127747

Yeah, I don't believe I've seen a day in my life in Alabama with a high in the single digits. Certainly not in my adult life.

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

GEFS are in agreement that a clipper piece of energy will be heading down the stove pipe.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Even when you’ve got a streak of bad luck a ULL generally levels the playing field for everyone who sucks at snow. Which is 99% of this board. We can work with what the Canadian is showing.

 

[griteater]

Another view of the improvement on the GEFS....last 5 run trend loop

 

[iGRXY]

Better cold push too lol

 

[iGRXY]

So much better. Strong vort now with much better separation from the TPV. Also has a better cold push

 

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[griteater]

View attachment 127787
Better cold push too lol

Yeah that's interesting as you can see on that loop I just posted that the heights are dropping all along the E Coast. Better ridge our west and better -NAO....so colder as you mentioned

 

[iGRXY]

Beautiful

 

[iGRXY]

I expect some good members.

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

View attachment 127792
I expect some good members.

Yeah this will work.

 

[Chazwin]

I’ve been working this evening and haven’t had a chance to really look deep at the models until now, and I gotta say if the ICON is right with its cold push on Friday, and it has support, Friday will be the type of day that most of us don’t experience often. It’s all in the trajectory of the cold air. It’s push in from the west in Alabama and Georgia and from the west southwest in the Carolinas. The depiction and temperature drops it’s showing looks very much like the January 1985 Arctic outbreak. Now I’m not saying that this airmass is on par with that, I’m just saying the push looks like it could be as impressive. Also if the ICON is right, don’t be shocked to maybe see a quick little burst of snow showers or flurries east of the mountains