bouncycorn
Meteorologist
The clipper?
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Wintry December 23-26 2022 Winter Weather and Cold
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Yeah that’s the energy models are eyeing for giving us a possible system at the tail end of this cold
Correct me if I'm wrong, but didn't the ICON do a good job with the February 2021 outbreak?
I mean here is the 12z GFS next to the 12z Icon for Friday morning, maybe it isn't crazy, but continue to prove itself to be a pretty reliable model...
I think I remember everyone getting pissed off about it being the first one to hold the arctic air west, but I'm not sure if that is what you were referring to.
ICON is likely overdone, but I think the differences is also due to timing of the front. NAM is around 20 here at the same timeframe, but NAM is slower than GFS/ICON on the frontal passage.
Energy coming in.
0Z GFS not horrible. This is the frontal band, none from the storm itself!?
This run looks better so far 
This trend on the GFS is quite remarkable. Just a casual 500 mile jump east in 5 runs Almost tried to pull the upper level low over northern NC and is breaking containment with some snow showers. Cool I guess??
Gfs had a quick change to snow well SE this run. Good times
Brent
Member
AccuWeather is probably wrong but still fun to see ?
Workable for 1000 please! Ridge taller and more west. Ahhh GFS progressive bias is a great thing.
Oh man
We’re really slowing/amping up the pattern thanks to the pacific jet backing off + -NAO 
Gfs is probably going to Miller B off Hatteras/ORF
Isn’t this funny. We’re kicking the warm up can down the road now ? but like actually
This trend is incredible 
Stormlover
Member
I still see the old one when I go there and view it...
Why are we trending to an actually good pattern again ? +PNA trying to go up and now back to a very strong -NAO west based.. 