Wintry December 23-26 2022 Winter Weather and Cold

[SD]

Lol at all the waves in the flow

 

[bigstick10]

Keep in mind the high temp on Friday will probably be in the 40s in Atlanta at midnight.

I do not see that happening at all...

 

[SouthGarnerSleet]

I wouldnt be surprised if ATL is below 0 on Friday afternoon.

I'd be more surprised if ATL was "below 0 on Friday afternoon" than if Lake Okeechobee froze over and they played an NHL game on it.

 

[Chazwin]

It is really rare to see a temp drop over ne ga and the upstate like those being modeled. Besides the mountains slowing it down,, Normally downslope warming also keeps temps warmer. If temps such as the icon verify, teens in the afternoon in ne ga, sc..it will be exceptionally rare. The euro and Canadian show low 20s in the afternoon which is still very impressive. Truly looks like one of the most impressive cold frontal passages in decades..especially for the upper Savannah River Valley.

I will say what the ICON is showing in terms of the trajectory of the cold air push is very similar to January 1985… basically push south and then east around the mountains cutting back on the downslope. Not saying that it’s depiction is accurate, but it has occurred before

 

[Drizzle Snizzle]

I'd be more surprised if ATL was "below 0 on Friday afternoon" than if Lake Okeechobee froze over and they played an NHL game on it.

Ok below 0 is probably a stretch. But it wouldn't shock me if Atlanta is 10-15 on Friday afternoon, especially the north and west suburbs.

 

[Stormlover]

I do not see that happening at all...

Sure it can, the front won't move through until after midnight

 

[bigstick10]

I will say what the ICON is showing in terms of the trajectory of the cold air push is very similar to January 1985… basically push south and then east around the mountains cutting back on the downslope. Not saying that it’s depiction is accurate, but it has occurred before

Wow, only a low of 20 for your area, seems warm.

 

[Chazwin]

Wow only a low of 20 for you area, seems warm.

Front is coming through here much later… if the ICON is right, I’ll probably be in the upper teens to lower 20s all after… my coldest morning will be Saturday

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Front is coming through here much later… if the ICON is right, I’ll probably be in the upper teens to lower 20s all after… my coldest morning will be Saturday

Low of 16 here per NWS. Very warm stuff. Torch

 

[BullCityWx]

Valid for Columbia SC:

 

[bigstick10]

Low of 16 here per NWS. Very warm stuff. Torch

Ok Fro, I was looking at Raleigh..

LEADS On-Line Home > Forecast > Garner, NC

weather.meteostar.com

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Ok Fro, I was looking at Raleigh..

LEADS On-Line Home > Forecast > Garner, NC

weather.meteostar.com

Apps really eat it for us, still cold but back towards you area and west get the legit stuff

 

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[Myfrotho704_]

impressive run to run changes here on the GEFS, main shortwave in the plains looks the best out of any run, hopefully we get a QPF response

 

[SD]

impressive run to run changes here on the GEFS, main shortwave in the plains looks the best out of any run, hopefully we get a QPF response View attachment 127709View attachment 127710

This is nice. You can't win with a kicker

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Hmm GEFS showing many more members with that clipper like wave moving down and into the SE …

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Some have it weakening some strengthening.. but it’s there

 

[Myfrotho704_]

We’re trending very positively here. More -NAO/more amplified pattern, look at the trend with the energy in the plains

 

[LovingGulfLows]

For the little clipper system on the 26th-27th, it's actually quite moist in the mid-levels on the GFS. Just need a mechanism for lift.

 

[Snowfan]

I think it has something to do with the system getting out faster and causing the confluence.