Yea definitely.. good lead time. Once we get this 1st system out the way, models will begin to show more precip for 2nd system I think.Bruh, the ICON was so close and honestly good spot at this lead time..... we are about to trend to something positive for a change
Tbh I don't think precip will end up being the issue, just need good timing so that we still have cold air in place.... gonna be a close one, thread the needle, it's what we do best in the southYea definitely.. good lead time. Once we get this 1st system out the way, models will begin to show more precip for 2nd system I think.
Don’t like the leader in the SE
First leader wave is a big issue here, need it less amplified and flatterAnddddd wet fart on the gfs
Cant get em lined up for the top one to come down in rear and set things off. To much press from the NE gyreDon’t like the leader in the SE
Looks like some nasty ass cold rain hereView attachment 128004
Energy be flyin
Wish the leader wave would become the dominate one. Cold air wouldn't be any issue then. LolFirst leader wave is a big issue here, need it less amplified and flatter
Was this the same issues on the ICON?First leader wave is a big issue here, need it less amplified and flatter
No, which is why I’m not to concerned about it honestlyWas this the same issues on the ICON?
Initially yeah, but for our pacific wave it’s not the NE gyre that’s the issue, it’s the initial digging energy in the SE messing things up before our main pacific wave arrivesCant get em lined up for the top one to come down in rear and set things off. To much press from the NE gyre
Yeah that GFS run was kind of wonky with the energy. Good to see it’s on its own with that idea for now.Already a huge difference on the CMC vs GFS, notice, just like the icon, the leader wave is already in SC/GA and getting out of here. Not close to the panic button yet View attachment 128005View attachment 128006
More northern stream involvement and less WAR is good here. That look the cmc had before was garbage. Sure precip is not there but it’s was better then the ugly runs it was showing, trending to a cleaner look for snow here tbhLess amped .. less ridge.. meh View attachment 128008
Yea we had 3 or 4 morning lows of below 0 temps that week in 85. I remember ceasers head recorded -20 or something like that. At my house we hit -7 at the lowest that week.We had -6 in 85 with only a dusting at GSP
That's a cold front! .... I am in the single digits and Raleigh is above freezing. I thought those arctic blasts of the 80's (1983, 1985, 1989) would never happen again here. Guess, history does repeat ..... now, how about that 1980 or 1988 snowstorm. I would love to see either one of those again.View attachment 12801112z HRRR brought the cold in quicker and stronger. Most potent arctic frontal passage since 1983 1989
Actually it isn't too far off, even had a little snow with it.....UKMET looks flat with our post Christmas energy.
Wow.. UKMET is what we need more off.Actually it isn't too far off, even had a little snow with it.....
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That’s almost exciting for it to be showing up like that at this rangeUkie going negative tilt as it exits coast, a little sooner and this goes boom
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Wow UkMET is also picking up the same area. Slowly but surely we will get there ??? HOPEFULLYYou can see the area showing up in the Carolinas. View attachment 128015
This front is going to be historic for many across the country, no doubt about that; especially for Christmas week in particular. For the upstate particularly; is appears (key word) it will be more if a memorable front than "historic." WYFF has our coldest temps of 33/12, which will certainly be impressive, but even just 2 years ago our Christmas day was 34/16. Additionally, there are no daily records forecast so I wouldn't call it historic for the upstate. For many areas just to our West it may well be historic; highs in the teens and single digits, lows near or below zero. The mtns are going to mute this for us unfortunately.Yea we had 3 or 4 morning lows of below 0 temps that week in 85. I remember ceasers head recorded -20 or something like that. At my house we hit -7 at the lowest that week.