The good news as well is we should have plenty of room to wet bulb down even lower. Of course we will be cursing that when we are out of power.
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Wintry December 23-26 2022 Winter Weather and Cold
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
iGRXY
Member
Nice increase
A couple of decent evolving systems and close calls ..if we can keep this pace up in terms of our trends .. 
bouncycorn
Meteorologist
Tonight’s 00z MMFS run will be a 8 day run (192hrs) to fully resolve any potential systems on the horizon.
Wasn’t too happy with its long range performance with this system, but I’m doing tests and making tweaks behind the scenes to improve things in the long range.
Wasn’t too happy with its long range performance with this system, but I’m doing tests and making tweaks behind the scenes to improve things in the long range.
I think you’re going to see some cooler temperature forecasts here overnight for Friday morning. Specifically talking about NWS Peachtree City. They currently have Atlanta at 10am Friday at 28 degrees whereas the National Blend of Models has KATL at 19 degrees then. Seems very likely we get into the teens before any kind of warmup
GFS, Icon, and CMC all keep Atlanta at or below 20 on Friday which would be wildly impressive
GFS, Icon, and CMC all keep Atlanta at or below 20 on Friday which would be wildly impressive
Brent
Member
NWS going with 7 here for pretty much Thursday after the late morning ? the high will be early for sure. There aren't many days colder in the records tbh. Fridays high is 10. I mean this is pretty insane even without the snow. February 2021's coldest high was 5
Also the record wind chill for Tulsa is -27... We may not be too far off that
Also the record wind chill for Tulsa is -27... We may not be too far off that
BHS1975
Member
Nice 100 degree swing from winter to summer.
Weatherbug, bless your heart! Must be using the Bouncycorn model! 
6z Gfs was looking like glory but cold air just disappeared just hrs prior to the event starting on 12-27/12-28
?
SnowwxAtl
Member
What happened to the colder solution? Hopefully, it is a blip and the GFS is GFSin!
Needs to be further offshore
This storm is coming on the heels of when the cold air is fleeting. We need some perfect timing and a quick moving system to come in so things match up. This was my initial worry when we started seeing this storm chance continue to pop up and will continue to be a worry moving forward. Lots of possibilities still with this though.
SnowwxAtl
Member
I had mentioned this awhile ago in the other thread. I do like the possibilities of this storm but we need the cold to stick around longer.
NCSNOW
Member
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6z GFS has a pixel of Snow in Florida: Not worth posting cause it hasn't got a clue. Its night an day different from the Euro 12/26 onward. What a garbage model we have.
Best chance to see a few hours of frozen for the Triad -northwest will come Thursday morning before the rain takes over. Not seeing anything yet to get excited about for Friday as far as catching a few minutes of flakes as the powerful front pushes through. Like everyone else Im grasping/looking for any opportunity we can.
This is Thursday morning off the RDPS
Best chance to see a few hours of frozen for the Triad -northwest will come Thursday morning before the rain takes over. Not seeing anything yet to get excited about for Friday as far as catching a few minutes of flakes as the powerful front pushes through. Like everyone else Im grasping/looking for any opportunity we can.
This is Thursday morning off the RDPS
SnowwxAtl
Member
By the way, everyone is quiet about the EURO?6z GFS has a pixel of Snow in Florida: Not worth posting cause it hasn't got a clue. Its night an day different from the Euro 12/26 onward. What a garbage model we have.
Best chance to see a few hours of frozen for the Triad -northwest will come Thursday morning before the rain takes over. Not seeing anything yet to get excited about for Friday as far as catching a few minutes of flakes as the powerful front pushes through. Like everyone else Im grasping/looking for any opportunity we can.
This is Thursday morning off the RDPS
There’s some pretty decent dynamics passing through the triangle after the front on Friday. Might be able to squeeze out a snow shower.
With that kind of cold, there could be some unexpected development. Most likely it'll still be cold chasing moisture (so not much). Maybe with the warm(er) wet ground (> 1" qpf from initial rain) we can develop a few snow showers. Long shot but got to have something to hope on.
total qpf before cold:
