Pattern December 2023

[Stevo24]

View attachment 138286
Well, this graphic will age like uncovered avocado slices. Overheard a man walking in to Lowe's today on his phone. "I thought it was going to be pouring rain. If I'd had known it was going to be dry, I would have worked on my outside chores...", he said.

Why do we even pay for a NWS to forecast? Just collect the data and leave the forecasting up to private companies.

But for real why do they get paid to be wrong so much even when the data says otherwise. It’s a legit question.

 

[Flotown]

boy,i got a good feeling about late december and early january..JS

 

[Rain Cold]

boy,i got a good feeling about late december and early january..JS

I'm with you. I've had that feeling for years. Punting December has become muscle memory.

 

[NoSnowATL]

View attachment 138286
Well, this graphic will age like uncovered avocado slices. Overheard a man walking in to Lowe's today on his phone. "I thought it was going to be pouring rain. If I'd had known it was going to be dry, I would have worked on my outside chores...", he said.

Why do we even pay for a NWS to forecast? Just collect the data and leave the forecasting up to private companies.

We stole all your rain.

 

[weatherfide]

We stole all your rain.

We will probably pick up a quick .25" as the front pulls through tomorrow morning, but we got the classic Carolina split today.

 

[WNC_Fort]

Rinse and repeat on this board these last few years. Some cold in November, glimmers of hope in December that never materialize, and a slow disappointing ride through Jan/Feb.

 

[accu35]

That 18z looks yummy

 

[WSW]

That 18z looks yummy

Yeah big snows at the end of the run.

 

[tennessee storm]

Rinse and repeat on this board these last few years. Some cold in November, glimmers of hope in December that never materialize, and a slow disappointing ride through Jan/Feb.

Don’t forget we keep chasing the fantasy storms also….lol

 

[Windergawx]

Don’t forget we keep chasing the fantasy storms also….lol

We seem to chase rain snow and sec title

 

[Makeitsnow]

View attachment 138286
Well, this graphic will age like uncovered avocado slices. Overheard a man walking in to Lowe's today on his phone. "I thought it was going to be pouring rain. If I'd had known it was going to be dry, I would have worked on my outside chores...", he said.

Why do we even pay for a NWS to forecast? Just collect the data and leave the forecasting up to private companies.

This was definitely on the upper end of busted precip forecasts by ffc. Its one thing to see lighter totals than forecasted but its another when there was hardly a drop (i had none) over huge sections today....and if you got sprinkle or a few hundredths..congrats I guess lol.. Thank God we weren't dealing with winter precip...the anger, pain, and sickness would be off the scale. It would have left a lifetime scar on me.

 

[dsaur]

I'm with you. I've had that feeling for years. Punting December has become muscle memory.

I don't know....Goofy has been a bit consistent in trying to lure cold and moisture together around the tenth. Wouldn't surprise me to see a few pellets, or flurries as the cold air scours out the moisture, lol. Many a year, a scattering of sleet, or some partly cloudy snow grains in the air, in late Nov, or early Dec., is all I get for the winter. Tech beat Duke today so anything is possible I know Cheston agrees! Maybe Damon will bring a blizzard during the ACC tourney again Ndongo might be the new James Forrest....he was today.

 

[ghost1]

boy,i got a good feeling about late december and early january..JS

Why?

 

[Flotown]

Why?

based on mjo headed toward phase 8..

 

[Chazwin]

based on mjo headed toward phase 8..

Yes, as we go into late December and early January, we might be getting the Holy Grail of teleconnections aligning. MJO going into phase 8,1,2 with -AO/-NAO/+PNA while entering peak climo.

 

[ghost1]

based on mjo headed toward phase 8..

Great! Let's go!

 

[Itryatgolf]

Yes, as we go into late December and early January, we might be getting the Holy Grail of teleconnections aligning. MJO going into phase 8,1,2 with -AO/-NAO/+PNA while entering peak climo.

I would like to see a -epo if possible as well?

 

[Stevo24]

I would like to see a -epo if possible as well?

Your asking too much

 

[Ollie Williams]

I would like to see a -epo if possible as well?

Many people are panicking about the -EPO, but many of our major winter storms occurred when it was positive. For instance, the March 1927 storm had crappy blocking, except for the +PNA.

 

[Itryatgolf]

Your asking too much

Many people are panicking about the -EPO, but many of our major winter storms occurred when it was positive. For instance, the March 1927 storm had crappy blocking, except for the +PNA. Attach files

Imo, the -epo/wpo combo is the king of cold. It is good to see it when it happens.