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Pattern December 2023

We take what we can get.

From RAH:
Precipitation: Confidence is increasing that rainfall totals could
be in the 2-2.5 inch range by the end of the event, with anomalously
high PWATs of 1.4 to 1.6 inches. While there is still a Marginal
risk for isolated flash flooding, the system still appears fairly
progressive and training of storms are not anticipated. Best chances
for isolated flash flooding will generally be over the urban areas
and areas of poor drainage. Lastly, have introduced a slight chance
for a brief period of snow mixing in with the rain as the system
lifts out Sun night. Confidence is relatively low, but the chance is
there nonetheless. No impacts or accumulation expected.
 
FallsLake said:
We take what we can get.

From RAH:
Precipitation: Confidence is increasing that rainfall totals could
be in the 2-2.5 inch range by the end of the event, with anomalously
high PWATs of 1.4 to 1.6 inches. While there is still a Marginal
risk for isolated flash flooding, the system still appears fairly
progressive and training of storms are not anticipated. Best chances
for isolated flash flooding will generally be over the urban areas
and areas of poor drainage. Lastly, have introduced a slight chance
for a brief period of snow mixing in with the rain as the system
lifts out Sun night. Confidence is relatively low, but the chance is
there nonetheless. No impacts or accumulation expected.
Click to expand...
Would be wild to have severe weather and snow from the same system. I'll take anything this early.
 
Cold Rain, Merry Torchmas! 18Z did bring the goods! 5D622F5D-089D-4B23-B7FF-2FDCC2278CC5.png
 
Snowlover87 said:
boardwide if you're north of I-20
Click to expand...
This storm was one of the worst IP/ZR events in history for the southern half of Georgia, points well below Macon were out of power for an extensive amount of times. While there was no snowfall accumulation, it was still virtually a board wide storm in terms of frozen precipitation.
 
Brent said:
Yes January 1988 had pretty close to a boardwide snowstorm

So a warm Christmas doesn't necessarily mean bad news for the rest of winter I guess
Click to expand...
Not at all. As warm as Christmas 2015 was, the following month I remember tailgating before the NFC Championship game in Charlotte with a couple inches of snow on the ground from a decent storm a couple days earlier
 
Snowlover87 said:
I wanna see a boardwide snow from Houston to Jacksonville and everywhere points north. When's the last time that happened ?
Click to expand...
Someone else on here can probably correct me, but I would venture to say that February 1899 was probably the last storm that had both accumulating snow in Houston/Jacksonville/points north. February 2010 was defintiely the closest example in recent memory, but far SE GA (points east of Valdosta, south of Jesup) were shut out during that storm from any measurable snow. The ten year period from 1895-1905 was absolutely insane in terms of measurable snowfalls in Southern Georgia/North Florida.
 
Last edited:
Snowflakes on Christmas?

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_60.png
 
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