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Pattern December 2023

12z Eps ,Gefs and Geps all 3 paint some snow stripes east of mtns hour 250-264. so all 3 ensembles must have one or 2 ens members sniffing the glue.
 
18z GFS right on que for the 15th-16th. Also has accum snow in mtns tommorow and again Sun behind front.

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am i right or wrong in saying that there is a lag in sensible weather when it comes to mjo?clearly we look to head toward phase 8 by later part of month but we have to wait a bit..correct?
 
Flotown said:
am i right or wrong in saying that there is a lag in sensible weather when it comes to mjo?clearly we look to head toward phase 8 by later part of month but we have to wait a bit..correct?
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End of December for any changes to colder stormier at the earliest around here imo. We gots a ways to go lol
 
weatherfide said:
I'm also noticing convection robbing moisture transport north of central Georgia for Sunday's system. I'm still hoping for some significant rain, though, since I missed out last weekend.
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Yeah, we ride the dry slot between heavy rains, top and bottom. How many times do we have to get that in winter, lol. If I can't get frozen at least let me get 33 and a two day gom low with 3 inches of rain.
 
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