• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Wintry Dec 8-10th Winter Storm

NC Crush job!!

gfs_asnow_seus_32.png
 
Tarheel1 said:
The clipper showing up a few days ago for Tues/Wed, vanished right?
Click to expand...

It's still there in some way, shape, or form on the Euro & GFS, arguably it's harder for globals to pick up on seemingly infinitesimal and weak areas of precip that'll be associated with the clipper so that would be a nowcast of observations and radar to see who might spot a few token flakes late Tue into Wed.
 
The Euros way off o totals probably but the extent of the winter precip I don’t think is far enough south and west
 
DarkKnight said:
This is the track we need for the most people on here to see a snowstorm. IMO I think we might very close to this.
View attachment 7991
Click to expand...

Boy DarkKnight, if we actually manage to get there...I won't need to do anything streams wise or thinking about making a day trip drive (that I'm sure my parents will not be fans of) to see winter weather.
 
The new euro comes out around 7 correct? And I think the gfs has the system a bit to far north just my opinion
 
EastAtlwx said:
its having some weird convective feedback issues over texas..
Click to expand...

ECWMF has it too, really starts SW of the Baja and southern feedback intensifies in to TX. Realistically that parcel should will be more intact, H5 min was coming ashore in central CA a couple days ago, now the consensus is the CA/MX boarder, if not south. On a law of averages, it should exit at the latitude absent a northerner stream kicker which comes in to play late.
 
GeorgiaGirl said:
Boy DarkKnight, if we actually manage to get there...I won't need to do anything streams wise or thinking about making a day trip drive (that I'm sure my parents will not be fans of) to see winter weather.
Click to expand...
Lol I hear ya. I hoping to get something here also. I would love to fly my mavic pro drone and upload the videos/photos on here.
 
DA9CEC9E-16DD-4A2E-AFC4-5C7D7785E88D.png DA9CEC9E-16DD-4A2E-AFC4-5C7D7785E88D.png Wedge and frozen gets DEEP into ATL metro, on 18z!!!
 

Attachments

  • FA8D2372-E8B2-4ADA-9C88-2CDC5B0A0105.png
    FA8D2372-E8B2-4ADA-9C88-2CDC5B0A0105.png
    320.2 KB · Views: 16
WxWatch said:
That's not the same low, that's the secondary low.
Click to expand...
Yea and the EURO and Control run does the same thing...transfers energy to the secondary low close to the Ga coast and it crawls along the coast from there. As 850s drop this puts back end snow across N Ga and places NEward.
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_fh162-186.gif
 
Is there something wrong with TT maps, why isn't the p. type showing as well on the 18z GFS like what the weather nerd site is showing? Also, the timing is off.
 
Last edited:
Keep in mind the "ptype maps" on weather nerds are more "gridded" and will show the potential precipitation type "IF" there was still ample moisture. It's not 100% set in stone by any means.

For example, you see all that orange in SC even to the coast? In theory that's showing a sleet and rain mix. It's a little confusing though..
 
Don't know what to make of this low transformation. Keeps us in the duration longer, but robs us of some of the heavier precip totals.
 
589a7a80a49ad409882874ee22c8d355.jpg


If you’re wondering if the snow map is bogus wrt Ptype, nope. Snow liquid equivalent is 1.5-2” for many areas in Central NC. What a run. Save the 18z image....runs like these only happen every few years, even if the storm doesn’t work out.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
87EC48B6-1C53-46A2-8E28-A065381E98FD.png Yep, he did it! On his FB video! Said to be responsible, he had to show it , because we’d see it somewhere else! Lol
Says it absolutely can’t/won’t happen!
 
Shawn said:
Keep in mind the "ptype maps" on weather nerds are more "gridded" and will show the potential precipitation type "IF" there was still ample moisture. It's not 100% set in stone by any means.

For example, you see all that orange in SC even to the coast? In theory that's showing a sleet and rain mix. It's a little confusing though..
Click to expand...
Closing in on 5 years, Shawn. Reel this one in.
 
Bsud said:
Dont forget upstate SC.

Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk
Click to expand...
Meh, it’s gonna start as rain, that transition to anything frozen, can be painful to wait on and cut way down on snow/ice!
 
BHS1975 said:
Wouldn’t most of that end up as sleet in Raleigh?


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Click to expand...
It's very close but keeps trending colder and this run was mostly snow, thermals appear to support that this run..... but it's Cen NC the warm nose is always lurking
 
Of course on his tease to commercial, he shows the 18z GFS, CJ what a bafoon!
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top