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Wintry Dec 8-10th Winter Storm

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Y'all ... I haven't checked the board in three or four weeks. My oldest son mentioned last December's storm at lunch today and laughed, because he and I have tickets to Atlanta United's MLS Cup final game on Saturday here in Atlanta.

I nearly passed out reading the thread just now ... like, seriously, we all know there will be trends and changes. But dang, if that isn't just about the perfect setup for a major, memorable winter storm.

I seriously may be getting a hotel in Atlanta for the weekend. We haven't won a championship in this sports-cursed city since I saw the Braves win the World Series in 1995. I'm not missing Atlanta United winning it all Saturday, even if we don't get home until Tuesday.

I'll be reading. Thanks all for the great info and analysis, as always.

--30--
 
I can see this one trending more south in the short term and then correcting north leading up to the event. I would not be concerned if I lived in the bulls eye right now. I am trying to temper my excitement. As some have already said, anything in early December is a bonus. I don't see how we could have any better model runs than we have had today.
 
FFC gives it a mention:
.LONG TERM /Tuesday through Sunday/...

Medium-range models showing some potential for wintry weather across
portions of the forecast area next weekend, mainly across the
northeast. Although general, larger scale, patterns are similar
across the GFS/ECMWF/Canadian models, there still exists noticeable
differences concerning the strength/persistence of the potential
wedge high and the strength/track of the surface low. I have gone
with a model blend for now with a chance for some ZR/IP early
Saturday as the low approaches and a RW/SW mix Saturday night/early
Sunday as the system sweeps up the east coast. Confidence remains
low at this point. No significant changes made to the early portion
of the period, generally dry and cool through the majority of the
work week.
 
Cad Wedge NC said:
I can see this one trending more south in the short term and then correcting north leading up to the event. I would not be concerned if I lived in the bulls eye right now. I am trying to temper my excitement. As some have already said, anything in early December is a bonus. I don't see how we could have any better model runs than we have had today.
Click to expand...
You can't, unless its the day of the event.
 
FFC:


.LONG TERM /Tuesday through Sunday/...

Medium-range models showing some potential for wintry weather across
portions of the forecast area next weekend, mainly across the
northeast. Although general, larger scale, patterns are similar
across the GFS/ECMWF/Canadian models, there still exists noticeable
differences concerning the strength/persistence of the potential
wedge high and the strength/track of the surface low. I have gone
with a model blend for now with a chance for some ZR/IP early
Saturday as the low approaches and a RW/SW mix Saturday night/early
Sunday as the system sweeps up the east coast. Confidence remains
low at this point. No significant changes made to the early portion
of the period, generally dry and cool through the majority of the
work week.
 
Kylo said:
I sure hope it’s right with that big low over SE Canada. That dog will hunt.

View attachment 7973
Click to expand...

One of the many check boxes you want to flag for a significant EC winter storm. Classic placement is the Bay of Fundy, us in the SE want it displaced south as shown on that output. Fun times ahead, but still a couple days out from dialing in the finer H5 details.
 
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