RollTide18
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Some nice members for Central Alabama
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That secondary low has me a little worried. Yes, it keeps me in the duration longer, but it robs moisture and appears to edge a warm-nose into the area (knowing that is always a cause for concern with any winter system).Yeah I notice that to. Looks as if the second low come little further west?
Yea WXgeek soundings show IP/ZR to ZR across portions of the metro on FV3. Would probably be a very bad ice storm verbatim.Again the FV3 holds serve, and resembles the 12Z GFS from Friday.
Whenever you see a snow map with that nose down into NE Georgia, thats all IP/ZR.
Yeah E9 is a winnerSome nice members for Central Alabama
Yes, it is possible for that secondary low to trend west.Yeah I notice that to. Looks as if the second low come little further west?
Yes, and it appears to be moisture starved as the parent low moves out with the bulk of the moisture. Can't wait to radar watch and nowcast.Yes, it is possible for that secondary low to trend west.
Wow, stay tuned. 00z will crush our dreams my friend.Can’t wait to see how the midlands screw this up![]()
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That's the 12z not the 18z.![]()
FV3-18Z
Perfect to get a nice glaze on top for sledding.![]()
FV3-18Z
Some nice members for Central Alabama
In CAD events usually the higher mountains warm up first and change to rain with the valleys and foothills last to switch over.WRAL has front end snow, then WAA takes over and the snow line quickly moves to NW mountains, not even Asheville/Lenoir/Blowing Rock stay snow....just Boone and West Jefferson
Yes, the valleys will stay cold, and it makes sense that Asheville would change over, but the fact that they think WAA will win over all the way up to Boone is suspect to me based on recent model runs.In CAD events usually the higher mountains warm up first and change to rain with the valleys and foothills last to switch over.
Interesting. Up to an inch on the mean. Not impressed.
In true CAD events, anyone on the western side of the apps would changeover. The cold air banks up on the eastern side in lower elevations.Yes, the valleys will stay cold, and it makes sense that Asheville would change over, but the fact that they think WAA will win over all the way up to Boone is suspect to me based on recent model runs.
Whatever it takes to get today's model runs to verify.Keep it up , your negativity is working well
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Yes, everyone knows this. What I'm questioning is the fact than any WAA makes its way that far westbound.In true CAD events, anyone on the western side of the apps would changeover. The cold air banks up on the eastern side in lower elevations.
With a miller A, there is nothing to bring in the warm air advection this far west. They must still think it will be a cutter...Yes, everyone knows this. What I'm questioning is the fact than any WAA makes its way that far westbound.
Its not as if the cold air is stationary and easily getting booted out by WAA, there is a HP located north funneling in CAA.
Somebody wake them up and tell them that the models have trended away from the cutter idea.WRAL has front end snow, then WAA takes over and the snow line quickly moves to NW mountains, not even Asheville/Lenoir/Blowing Rock stay snow....just Boone and West Jefferson
Thank you. That is what I was getting at. No way you can look at the maps today and see WAA making its way that far NW. Yes, you remove that cold HP and I agree with WRAL, WAA erodes the cold air away. But todays models simply wasn't making that case, if anything, it was showing the CAD signature staying strong.With a miller A, there is nothing to bring in the warm air advection this far west. They must still think it will be a cutter...
It almost seems like they are trying to avoid use of the word "snow" to stop anyone from getting excited or freaking out. They currently are calling for only a "slight chance of a cold rain" on Saturday. That's not a bad guess for temperatures to be warmer than expected 6 days out in early December, but most of the models are currently showing at least a brief period of frozen precipitation. ABC-11 has mentioned the possibility of a wintry mix next weekend, though.Somebody wake them up and tell them that the models have trended away from the cutter idea.
Last time I checked 1 is better then 0... lolInteresting. Up to an inch on the mean. Not impressed.
Lets hope its running for shelter, snow shovels, and a woodstove.18z EPS off and running.