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Wintry Dec 8-10th Winter Storm

Fountainguy97 said:
Prove it. You will be hard pressed to find it.

Sure the means are skewed by a couple random members.

No op runs.
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3 to 6 across Wake, and there have been op runs showing the same and more today.

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Fountainguy97 said:
You mean 3-4. And plenty of sleet mixing in to bring that down to half of a snow fall map.
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You said based on what the snow maps showed. This is what they are showing. And it does go up to 6 at the Durham line. So, it really is not based on what the snow maps show when you say it is less than what they show.
 
It’s going to be a painful four days watching extreme southern/eastern areas on the clown maps have their carpet ripped out from under them. I’m talking GA, SC and limited areas of the Carolinas. Not trying to wishcast but 9 out of 10 times it’s going to go north last minute to hammer the climo regions of the Appalachian Mountains.
 
Brick Tamland said:
You said based on what the snow maps showed. This is what they are showing. And it does go up to 6 at the Durham line. So, it really is not based on what the snow maps show when you say it is less than what they show.
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Ok you got me. 5-6 for that .00001% of wake.

The rest of us few million are 2-3.5 haha
 
Fountainguy97 said:
Ok you got me. 5-6 for that .00001% of wake.

The rest of us few million are 2-3.5 haha
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Actually Brick is right, various model runs today have shown more than 4” for Wake County. The Kuchera ratio from the 12z run of the GFS showed widespread 6” amounts. Wake will likely be in the transition zone if current modeling holds so there would be a sharp gradient if so.
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snowlover91 said:
Actually Brick is right, various model runs today have shown more than 4” for Wake County. The Kuchera ratio from the 12z run of the GFS showed widespread 6” amounts. Wake will likely be in the transition zone if current modeling holds so there would be a sharp gradient if so.
View attachment 8314
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Now that the pressing issue of Wake is settled ... can we?
 
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BirdManDoomW said:
It’s going to be a painful four days watching extreme southern/eastern areas on the clown maps have their carpet ripped out from under them. I’m talking GA, SC and limited areas of the Carolinas. Not trying to wishcast but 9 out of 10 times it’s going to go north last minute to hammer the climo regions of the Appalachian Mountains.
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I think the only counties that will see heavier totals in the upstate are Oconee, Pickens, Greenville, and Spartanburg.

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Bsud said:
I think the only counties that will see heavier totals in the upstate are Oconee, Pickens, Greenville, and Spartanburg.

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I’d be very happy with that. Being in Pickens county. My little boys want some snow to play in. Guess if Sunday morning comes and it’s all rain I’ll take them to Hendersonville to play
 
BirdManDoomW said:
It’s going to be a painful four days watching extreme southern/eastern areas on the clown maps have their carpet ripped out from under them. I’m talking GA, SC and limited areas of the Carolinas. Not trying to wishcast but 9 out of 10 times it’s going to go north last minute to hammer the climo regions of the Appalachian Mountains.
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Welcome to the 1/10 th
 
Jessy89 said:
I’d be very happy with that. Being in Pickens county. My little boys want some snow to play in. Guess if Sunday morning comes and it’s all rain I’ll take them to Hendersonville to play
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All you have to do is drive to TR! They’ll have 10” plus!
 
Guess who just got added to the party:cool:
 

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SD said:
I still don't feel very comfortable with the setup. Like I said this morning we are walking a thin line between a decent event and getting nothing at all

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I'm skeptical about large totals in Raleigh because of the likely changeover to rain in the afternoon depicted on most models.
 
Does anyone see any potential for freezing rain from triad area? Going to drive to maggie valley but dont want to encounter fzrn on the way.
 
Triad will probably get alot of snow and some sleet but so far based off current guidance, no zr until you get to maybe clt
 
Feb 87 is an event that has similar temp setup, big 50/50 low, marginal temps except with the southern low. This was the infamous big sleet storm for RDU.
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On a more serious note, several gef members produce over 2 feet of snow east of the mountains. Chicken houses would collapse and some homes would be at risk for roof failure. I could see a need for PDS Winter Storm Watch for Surry, Yadkin, Wilkes and Iredel counties along with mountain counties.
 
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