• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Wintry Dec 8-10th Winter Storm

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_seus_19.png

This run has the low over the big bend in Florida rather eastern GA
 
CyclonicFury said:
ICON is showing temperatures in the upper 20s with rain for western NC lol. Its Tidbits precip maps are not accurate
Click to expand...
I believe Tidbits only shows rain or snow for the ICON. So there could be some IP or ZR that is present but not being shown. However, I think it's best if we just ignore the ICON for now. I don't know of a single time it has outperformed other models.
 
Well not gonna end as well as hoped, heading up the coast too close for cen NC that's for sure... our hp just goes poof lol
 
Still 4 days . These op runs are well within their ensemble envelope so while it’s not what we want , these type solutions are possible


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
Storm5 said:
Still 4 days . These op runs are well within their ensemble envelope so while it’s not what we want , these type solutions are possible


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Click to expand...

And more in line with climo.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
Storm5 said:
Still 4 days . These op runs are well within their ensemble envelope so while it’s not what we want , these type solutions are possible


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Click to expand...
I hope it plays out just like that, I don't care what it showed at the surface, if that HP is that strong and there and the slp is that far south..... I'm not worried.
 
LOL, what happened to that strong HP? It doesn't even move out, it just goes poof! How does that even happen?!
 
Looking at thermals and it is razor thin imby, I mean I am literally a degree or two away from heavy snow.... but also a degree away from nothing but rain
 
The snow map, makes no sense at all still gives feet of snow and nothing on the maps i have looked at showed even a possibility of even 6 inches. HaHa
 
Not sure whether to post this in the December or storm thread but because I know there are a lot of new faces here, in case any of my NC peeps were curious or unaware, I created a website several months ago that houses a massive archive of winter storms dating back to 1895 specifically for NC, here's an animation of seasonal maps from 1895-96 to 1936-37. Storms like the one we're discussing in this forum certainly could encroach on relatively more rare territory for our neck of the woods but we shall see!

https://www.webberweather.com/

Webp.net-gifmaker (12).gif
 
Not quite sure there is adequate moisture in the snow growth region on that backside stuff for some.
 
Even after all these trends, I see a sleetstorm for clt then north of 85 heavy snow and sleet
 
Webberweather53 said:
Not sure whether to post this in the December or storm thread but because I know there are a lot of new faces here, in case any of my NC peeps were curious or unaware, I created a website several months ago that houses a massive archive of winter storms dating back to 1895 specifically for NC, here's an animation of seasonal maps from 1895-96 to 1936-37. Storms like the one we're discussing in this forum certainly could encroach on relatively more rare territory for our neck of the woods but we shall see!

https://www.webberweather.com/

View attachment 8308
Click to expand...
Man I wish we had someone like you do something like this for Georgia
 
GFS still looks like 3 to 6 for most of Wake east to west. Then it jumps to a foot just to the west. Looks good to me.
 
I think it's safe to say, "Possible" can be taken out of the title. Theres probably a 95% chance theres going to be a winter storm.

Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top